Conagra Foods Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.83
| CAG Stock | USD 17.83 0.68 3.67% |
Closest to current price ConAgra long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
ConAgra Foods Target Price Odds to finish over 17.83
The tendency of ConAgra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 17.83 | 90 days | 17.83 | roughly 2.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ConAgra Foods to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.41 (This ConAgra Foods probability density function shows the probability of ConAgra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ConAgra Foods has a beta of 0.14 suggesting as returns on the market go up, ConAgra Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ConAgra Foods will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ConAgra Foods has an alpha of 0.0205, implying that it can generate a 0.0205 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ConAgra Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ConAgra Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ConAgra Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ConAgra Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ConAgra Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ConAgra Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ConAgra Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ConAgra Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0059 |
ConAgra Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ConAgra Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ConAgra Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ConAgra Foods has 8.31 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.05, which is OK given its current industry classification. ConAgra Foods has a current ratio of 0.76, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable ConAgra to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| Over 89.0% of ConAgra Foods shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Cordia Harrington, Founder of Crown Bakeries, to Receive Prestigious 2026 Horatio Alger Award |
ConAgra Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ConAgra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ConAgra Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ConAgra Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 478.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 68 M |
ConAgra Foods Technical Analysis
ConAgra Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ConAgra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ConAgra Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing ConAgra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ConAgra Foods Predictive Forecast Models
ConAgra Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many ConAgra Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ConAgra Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ConAgra Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about ConAgra Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ConAgra Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ConAgra Foods has 8.31 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.05, which is OK given its current industry classification. ConAgra Foods has a current ratio of 0.76, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable ConAgra to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns. | |
| Over 89.0% of ConAgra Foods shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Cordia Harrington, Founder of Crown Bakeries, to Receive Prestigious 2026 Horatio Alger Award |
Check out ConAgra Foods Analysis, ConAgra Foods Valuation, ConAgra Foods Correlation, ConAgra Foods Hype Analysis, ConAgra Foods Volatility, ConAgra Foods Price History as well as ConAgra Foods Performance. For more detail on how to invest in ConAgra Stock please use our How to Invest in ConAgra Foods guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Can Packaged Foods & Meats industry sustain growth momentum? Does ConAgra have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ConAgra Foods. Projected growth potential of ConAgra fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating ConAgra Foods demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.65) | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share (0.21) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of ConAgra Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ConAgra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ConAgra Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ConAgra Foods' true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because ConAgra Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ConAgra Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between ConAgra Foods' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding ConAgra Foods should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, ConAgra Foods' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.