Blackstone Mortgage Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.73
| BXMT Stock | USD 18.74 0.40 2.18% |
Blackstone |
Blackstone Mortgage Target Price Odds to finish over 22.73
The tendency of Blackstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 22.73 or more in 90 days |
| 18.74 | 90 days | 22.73 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackstone Mortgage to move over $ 22.73 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Blackstone Mortgage Trust probability density function shows the probability of Blackstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackstone Mortgage Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 18.74 and $ 22.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.96 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blackstone Mortgage has a beta of 0.16 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Blackstone Mortgage average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blackstone Mortgage Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blackstone Mortgage Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Blackstone Mortgage Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Blackstone Mortgage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackstone Mortgage Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackstone Mortgage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blackstone Mortgage Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackstone Mortgage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackstone Mortgage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackstone Mortgage Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackstone Mortgage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Blackstone Mortgage Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackstone Mortgage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackstone Mortgage Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from smh.com.au: Liberal Party insiders line up pay day from Morrison government policy |
Blackstone Mortgage Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blackstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blackstone Mortgage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackstone Mortgage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 172.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 350 M |
Blackstone Mortgage Technical Analysis
Blackstone Mortgage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackstone Mortgage Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Blackstone Mortgage Predictive Forecast Models
Blackstone Mortgage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackstone Mortgage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackstone Mortgage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Blackstone Mortgage Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackstone Mortgage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackstone Mortgage Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from smh.com.au: Liberal Party insiders line up pay day from Morrison government policy |
Additional Tools for Blackstone Stock Analysis
When running Blackstone Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure Blackstone Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blackstone Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of Blackstone Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blackstone Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blackstone Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blackstone Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.