Baird Intermediate Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.01

BIMSX Fund  USD 10.91  0.05  0.46%   
Baird Intermediate's future price is the expected price of Baird Intermediate instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Baird Intermediate Bond performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Baird Intermediate Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Baird Intermediate Correlation, Baird Intermediate Hype Analysis, Baird Intermediate Volatility, Baird Intermediate History as well as Baird Intermediate Performance.
  
Please specify Baird Intermediate's target price for which you would like Baird Intermediate odds to be computed.

Baird Intermediate Target Price Odds to finish below 11.01

The tendency of Baird Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 11.01  after 90 days
 10.91 90 days 11.01 
about 65.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baird Intermediate to stay under $ 11.01  after 90 days from now is about 65.08 (This Baird Intermediate Bond probability density function shows the probability of Baird Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baird Intermediate Bond price to stay between its current price of $ 10.91  and $ 11.01  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Baird Intermediate Bond has a beta of -0.0482 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Baird Intermediate are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Baird Intermediate Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Baird Intermediate Bond has an alpha of 0.002, implying that it can generate a 0.001974 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Baird Intermediate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baird Intermediate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baird Intermediate Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baird Intermediate's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7210.9111.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1910.3812.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.7110.9011.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8410.9511.06
Details

Baird Intermediate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baird Intermediate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baird Intermediate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baird Intermediate Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baird Intermediate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.85

Baird Intermediate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baird Intermediate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baird Intermediate Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baird Intermediate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Baird Intermediate Bond holds about 10.51% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Baird Intermediate Technical Analysis

Baird Intermediate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baird Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baird Intermediate Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baird Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Baird Intermediate Predictive Forecast Models

Baird Intermediate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baird Intermediate's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baird Intermediate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Baird Intermediate Bond

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baird Intermediate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baird Intermediate Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baird Intermediate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Baird Intermediate Bond holds about 10.51% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Baird Mutual Fund

Baird Intermediate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baird Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baird with respect to the benefits of owning Baird Intermediate security.
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