Blue Gold Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.92

BGL Stock   2.92  0.04  1.39%   
Blue Gold's future price is the expected price of Blue Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blue Gold Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blue Gold Analysis, Blue Gold Valuation, Blue Gold Correlation, Blue Gold Hype Analysis, Blue Gold Volatility, Blue Gold Price History as well as Blue Gold Performance.
At this time, Blue Gold's Price Earnings Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is expected to rise to 146.21 this year, although the value of Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio will most likely fall to (245.14). Please specify Blue Gold's target price for which you would like Blue Gold odds to be computed.

Blue Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 2.92

The tendency of Blue Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.92 90 days 2.92 
about 73.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blue Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.08 (This Blue Gold Limited probability density function shows the probability of Blue Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Blue Gold has a beta of 0.38 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Blue Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blue Gold Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blue Gold Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Blue Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blue Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Gold Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.7418.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.6818.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.6818.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.262.724.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blue Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blue Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blue Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Blue Gold Limited.

Blue Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blue Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blue Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blue Gold Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blue Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
1.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Blue Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blue Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blue Gold Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blue Gold Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Blue Gold Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Blue Gold generates negative cash flow from operations
Blue Gold Limited has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: ASX 200 Momentum Watch Market Signals Behind Fresh Highs and Lows

Blue Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blue Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blue Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments43.5 K
Shares Float12.4 M

Blue Gold Technical Analysis

Blue Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blue Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blue Gold Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blue Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blue Gold Predictive Forecast Models

Blue Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blue Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blue Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blue Gold Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blue Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blue Gold Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blue Gold Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Blue Gold Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Blue Gold generates negative cash flow from operations
Blue Gold Limited has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: ASX 200 Momentum Watch Market Signals Behind Fresh Highs and Lows
When determining whether Blue Gold Limited is a strong investment it is important to analyze Blue Gold's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Blue Gold's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Blue Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Gold space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Gold. Projected growth potential of Blue fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Blue Gold assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate Blue Gold Limited using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Blue Gold's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Blue Gold's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Blue Gold's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Blue Gold should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Blue Gold's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.