Brandywine Realty Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.82
| BDN Stock | USD 5.42 0.85 13.56% |
Brandywine |
Brandywine Realty Target Price Odds to finish below 3.82
The tendency of Brandywine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.82 or more in 90 days |
| 5.42 | 90 days | 3.82 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brandywine Realty to drop to $ 3.82 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Brandywine Realty Trust probability density function shows the probability of Brandywine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brandywine Realty Trust price to stay between $ 3.82 and its current price of $5.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.31 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.43 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Brandywine Realty will likely underperform. Additionally Brandywine Realty Trust has an alpha of 0.3445, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Brandywine Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brandywine Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brandywine Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brandywine Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brandywine Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brandywine Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brandywine Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brandywine Realty Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brandywine Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Brandywine Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brandywine Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brandywine Realty Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brandywine Realty Trust has 2.17 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.28, which is OK given its current industry classification. Brandywine Realty Trust has a current ratio of 0.58, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Brandywine to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 479.85 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (197.36 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 290.11 M. | |
| Brandywine Realty has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 89.0% of Brandywine Realty shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Brandywine Realty Trust Releases FY 2024 Earnings Guidance |
Brandywine Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brandywine Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brandywine Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brandywine Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 172 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 67.5 M |
Brandywine Realty Technical Analysis
Brandywine Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brandywine Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brandywine Realty Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brandywine Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brandywine Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Brandywine Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brandywine Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brandywine Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brandywine Realty Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brandywine Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brandywine Realty Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brandywine Realty Trust has 2.17 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.28, which is OK given its current industry classification. Brandywine Realty Trust has a current ratio of 0.58, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Brandywine to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 479.85 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (197.36 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 290.11 M. | |
| Brandywine Realty has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 89.0% of Brandywine Realty shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Brandywine Realty Trust Releases FY 2024 Earnings Guidance |
Check out Brandywine Realty Backtesting, Brandywine Realty Valuation, Brandywine Realty Correlation, Brandywine Realty Hype Analysis, Brandywine Realty Volatility, Brandywine Realty History as well as Brandywine Realty Performance. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brandywine Realty. If investors know Brandywine will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brandywine Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.506 | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share (0.96) | Revenue Per Share 2.44 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of Brandywine Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brandywine that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brandywine Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brandywine Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brandywine Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brandywine Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brandywine Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brandywine Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brandywine Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.