Balmer Lawrie (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 214.57
| BALMLAWRIE | 212.31 4.16 2.00% |
Balmer |
Balmer Lawrie Target Price Odds to finish over 214.57
The tendency of Balmer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 214.57 or more in 90 days |
| 212.31 | 90 days | 214.57 | about 39.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Balmer Lawrie to move over 214.57 or more in 90 days from now is about 39.21 (This Balmer Lawrie probability density function shows the probability of Balmer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Balmer Lawrie price to stay between its current price of 212.31 and 214.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Balmer Lawrie has a beta of -0.45 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Balmer Lawrie are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Balmer Lawrie is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Balmer Lawrie has an alpha of 0.0808, implying that it can generate a 0.0808 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Balmer Lawrie Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Balmer Lawrie
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Balmer Lawrie. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Balmer Lawrie Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Balmer Lawrie is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Balmer Lawrie's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Balmer Lawrie, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Balmer Lawrie within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Balmer Lawrie Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Balmer Lawrie for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Balmer Lawrie can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Balmer Lawrie is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Balmer Lawrie Investments Limited Stock Experiences Sudden Dip - Free Investment Portfolio Suggestions - PrintWeekIndia |
Balmer Lawrie Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Balmer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Balmer Lawrie's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Balmer Lawrie's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 171 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 B |
Balmer Lawrie Technical Analysis
Balmer Lawrie's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Balmer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Balmer Lawrie. In general, you should focus on analyzing Balmer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Balmer Lawrie Predictive Forecast Models
Balmer Lawrie's time-series forecasting models is one of many Balmer Lawrie's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Balmer Lawrie's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Balmer Lawrie
Checking the ongoing alerts about Balmer Lawrie for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Balmer Lawrie help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Balmer Lawrie is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Balmer Lawrie Investments Limited Stock Experiences Sudden Dip - Free Investment Portfolio Suggestions - PrintWeekIndia |
Additional Tools for Balmer Stock Analysis
When running Balmer Lawrie's price analysis, check to measure Balmer Lawrie's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Balmer Lawrie is operating at the current time. Most of Balmer Lawrie's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Balmer Lawrie's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Balmer Lawrie's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Balmer Lawrie to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.