Roundhill Baba Weeklypay Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 41.71

BABW Etf   41.71  1.10  2.57%   
Roundhill BABA's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Roundhill BABA based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay over a specific time period. For example, BABW260320C00053000 is a PUT option contract on Roundhill BABA's common stock with a strick price of 53.0 expiring on 2026-03-20. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 37 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $2.15. The implied volatility as of the 11th of February 2026 is 37.0. View All Roundhill options

Closest to current price Roundhill long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Roundhill BABA's future price is the expected price of Roundhill BABA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Roundhill BABA Analysis, Portfolio Optimization, Roundhill BABA Correlation, Roundhill BABA Hype Analysis, Roundhill BABA Volatility, Roundhill BABA Price History as well as Roundhill BABA Performance.
Please specify Roundhill BABA's target price for which you would like Roundhill BABA odds to be computed.

Roundhill BABA Target Price Odds to finish over 41.71

The tendency of Roundhill Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 41.71 90 days 41.71 
about 37.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Roundhill BABA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 37.84 (This Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay probability density function shows the probability of Roundhill Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Roundhill BABA has a beta of 0.34 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Roundhill BABA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Roundhill BABA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Roundhill BABA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.3941.6944.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.0638.3645.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Roundhill BABA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Roundhill BABA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Roundhill BABA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay.

Roundhill BABA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Roundhill BABA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Roundhill BABA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Roundhill BABA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
2.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Roundhill BABA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Roundhill BABA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Roundhill BABA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay ETF To Go Ex-Dividend On January 26th, 2026 With 0.47919 USD Dividend Per Share -

Roundhill BABA Technical Analysis

Roundhill BABA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Roundhill Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay. In general, you should focus on analyzing Roundhill Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Roundhill BABA Predictive Forecast Models

Roundhill BABA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Roundhill BABA's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Roundhill BABA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay

Checking the ongoing alerts about Roundhill BABA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Roundhill BABA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay ETF To Go Ex-Dividend On January 26th, 2026 With 0.47919 USD Dividend Per Share -
When determining whether Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay is a strong investment it is important to analyze Roundhill BABA's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Roundhill BABA's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Roundhill Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Roundhill BABA WeeklyPay's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Roundhill's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Roundhill BABA's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Since Roundhill BABA's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Roundhill BABA's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Roundhill BABA should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Roundhill BABA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.