Alithya Group Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.17

ALYAF Stock   1.17  0.10  7.87%   
Alithya's future price is the expected price of Alithya instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alithya Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alithya Analysis, Alithya Valuation, Alithya Correlation, Alithya Hype Analysis, Alithya Volatility, Alithya Price History as well as Alithya Performance.
At this time, Alithya's Price Cash Flow Ratio is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. Please specify Alithya's target price for which you would like Alithya odds to be computed.

Alithya Target Price Odds to finish over 1.17

The tendency of Alithya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.17 90 days 1.17 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alithya to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Alithya Group probability density function shows the probability of Alithya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This suggests Alithya Group market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Alithya is expected to follow. Additionally Alithya Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Alithya Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alithya

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alithya Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.173.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.203.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.193.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.161.231.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alithya. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alithya's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alithya's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Alithya Group.

Alithya Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alithya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alithya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alithya Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alithya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Alithya Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alithya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alithya Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alithya Group may become a speculative penny stock
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Technical Data - Stock Traders Daily

Alithya Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alithya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alithya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alithya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding96.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16 M
Shares Float56.2 M

Alithya Technical Analysis

Alithya's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alithya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alithya Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alithya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alithya Predictive Forecast Models

Alithya's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alithya's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alithya's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alithya Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alithya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alithya Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alithya Group may become a speculative penny stock
About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Technical Data - Stock Traders Daily
When determining whether Alithya Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Alithya's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Alithya's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Alithya Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Alithya Analysis, Alithya Valuation, Alithya Correlation, Alithya Hype Analysis, Alithya Volatility, Alithya Price History as well as Alithya Performance.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Can Information Technology Services industry sustain growth momentum? Does Alithya have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alithya. If investors know Alithya will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Alithya demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.427
Earnings Share
(0.20)
Revenue Per Share
5.024
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.115
Return On Assets
0.0337
The market value of Alithya Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alithya that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alithya's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alithya's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Alithya's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alithya's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alithya's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alithya represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Alithya's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.