Apple Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 220.28
| AAPL Stock | USD 226.96 0.27 0.12% |
Apple |
Apple Target Price Odds to finish below 220.28
The tendency of Apple Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 220.28 or more in 90 days |
| 226.96 | 90 days | 220.28 | about 12.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apple to drop to $ 220.28 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.77 (This Apple Inc probability density function shows the probability of Apple Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apple Inc price to stay between $ 220.28 and its current price of $226.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Apple has a beta of 0.56. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Apple average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Apple Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Apple Inc has an alpha of 0.0067, implying that it can generate a 0.006688 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Apple Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Apple
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apple Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Apple Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apple is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apple's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apple Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apple within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Apple Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apple for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apple Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Apple Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Apple Inc currently holds 106.63 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.61, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Apple Inc has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Apple's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Apple Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 61.0% of Apple shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Indonesias Prabowo to Visit Xi Before Possible Trump Meeting |
Apple Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apple Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apple's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apple's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 65.2 B |
Apple Technical Analysis
Apple's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apple Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apple Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apple Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Apple Predictive Forecast Models
Apple's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apple's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apple's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Apple Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Apple for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apple Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Apple Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Apple Inc currently holds 106.63 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.61, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Apple Inc has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Apple's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Apple Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 61.0% of Apple shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Indonesias Prabowo to Visit Xi Before Possible Trump Meeting |
Check out Apple Backtesting, Apple Valuation, Apple Correlation, Apple Hype Analysis, Apple Volatility, Apple History as well as Apple Performance. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apple. If investors know Apple will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apple listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | Dividend Share 0.98 | Earnings Share 6.08 | Revenue Per Share 25.485 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 |
The market value of Apple Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apple that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apple's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apple's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apple's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apple's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apple's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apple is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apple's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.