Distoken Acquisition Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

DISTDelisted Stock   28.00  0.00  0.00%   
Distoken Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The value of RSI of Distoken Acquisition's share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 86

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Distoken Acquisition's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Distoken Acquisition, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Distoken Acquisition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Distoken Acquisition from the perspective of Distoken Acquisition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Distoken Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 28.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.98.

Distoken Acquisition after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Distoken Acquisition Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Distoken price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Distoken using various technical indicators. When you analyze Distoken charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Distoken Acquisition is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Distoken Acquisition 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Distoken Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 28.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 6.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Distoken Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Distoken Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Distoken Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Distoken Acquisition  Distoken Acquisition Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Distoken Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Distoken Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6231
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.7255
MADMean absolute deviation0.8067
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0366
SAESum of the absolute errors45.9825
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Distoken Acquisition. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Distoken Acquisition and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Distoken Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Distoken Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Distoken Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.0028.0028.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2420.2430.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.6425.1336.62
Details

Distoken Acquisition After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Distoken Acquisition at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Distoken Acquisition or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Distoken Acquisition, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Distoken Acquisition Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Distoken Acquisition's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Distoken Acquisition's historical news coverage. Distoken Acquisition's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.00 and 28.00, respectively. We have considered Distoken Acquisition's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
28.00
28.00
After-hype Price
28.00
Upside
Distoken Acquisition is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Distoken Acquisition is based on 3 months time horizon.

Distoken Acquisition Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Distoken Acquisition is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Distoken Acquisition backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Distoken Acquisition, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.00
28.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Distoken Acquisition Hype Timeline

Distoken Acquisition is currently traded for 28.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Distoken is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Distoken Acquisition is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.00. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.13. Distoken Acquisition had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Distoken Acquisition Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Distoken Acquisition's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Distoken Acquisition's future price movements. Getting to know how Distoken Acquisition's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Distoken Acquisition may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Distoken Acquisition Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Distoken Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Distoken Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Distoken Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Distoken Acquisition Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Distoken Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Distoken Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Distoken Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Distoken Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Distoken Acquisition

The number of cover stories for Distoken Acquisition depends on current market conditions and Distoken Acquisition's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Distoken Acquisition is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Distoken Acquisition's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Distoken Acquisition Short Properties

Distoken Acquisition's future price predictability will typically decrease when Distoken Acquisition's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Distoken Acquisition often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Distoken Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Distoken Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15.1 K
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

Other Consideration for investing in Distoken Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Distoken Acquisition check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Distoken Acquisition's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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