Nrg Energy Stock Volatility
| NRG Stock | USD 73.95 1.14 1.57% |
NRG Energy appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. NRG Energy has Sharpe Ratio of 0.32, which conveys that the firm had a 0.32% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting NRG Energy's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.55% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise NRG Energy's risk adjusted performance of 0.2025, and Mean Deviation of 1.35 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to NRG Energy's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 720 Days Economic Sensitivity |
NRG Energy Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of NRG daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use NRG's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of NRG Energy volatility.
NRG |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, NRG Energy's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to NRG Energy's managers and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as NRG Energy can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of NRG Energy at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase NRG stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of NRG Energy's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with NRG Stock
| 0.95 | VST | Vistra Energy Corp Buyout Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.9 | EONGY | EON SE ADR | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | D | Dominion Energy Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against NRG Stock
| 0.92 | HE | Hawaiian Electric Financial Report 14th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | TAC | TransAlta Corp Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | DUKB | Duke Energy Corp | PairCorr |
NRG Energy Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
NRG Energy's beta coefficient measures the volatility of NRG stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents NRG stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, NRG Energy's beta of 0.59 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk NRG Energy stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. NRG Energy has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.03 and kurtosis of 0.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NRG Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NRG Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze NRG Energy Demand TrendCheck current 90 days NRG Energy correlation with market (NYSE Composite)NRG Beta |
NRG standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.71 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by NRG Energy's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of NRG Energy's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in nrg stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in NRG Energy.
Using NRG Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on NRG Energy grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of NRG Energy at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of NRG Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge NRG Energy's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding NRG Energy will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
NRG Energy's PUT expiring on 2024-05-17
Profit |
| NRG Energy Price At Expiration |
Current NRG Energy Insurance Chain
| Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $55.0 | -0.0365 | 0.0062 | 464 | 2024-05-17 | 0.05 - 0.35 | 0.1 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $60.0 | -0.0353 | 0.0087 | 2539 | 2024-05-17 | 0.05 - 0.2 | 0.13 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $65.0 | -0.1017 | 0.0225 | 2729 | 2024-05-17 | 0.35 - 0.45 | 0.4 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $70.0 | -0.2776 | 0.0434 | 2567 | 2024-05-17 | 1.25 - 1.45 | 1.4 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $75.0 | -0.524 | 0.0485 | 669 | 2024-05-17 | 3.5 - 3.8 | 3.8 | View |
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $80.0 | -0.764 | 0.0414 | 26 | 2024-05-17 | 6.4 - 7.5 | 10.1 | View |
NRG Energy Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which NRG Energy stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with NRG Energy's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of NRG Energy's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of NRG Energy's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures NRG Energy's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict NRG Energy's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for NRG Energy's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on NRG Energy's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. NRG Energy Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
NRG Energy Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon NRG Energy has a beta of 0.5859 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, NRG Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NRG Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NRG Energy or Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NRG Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NRG stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
NRG Energy has an alpha of 0.4797, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a NRG Energy Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.NRG Energy Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of NRG Energy is 309.95. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.93 and standard deviation of 1.71. The mean deviation of NRG Energy is currently at 1.35. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.26 |
NRG Energy Stock Return Volatility
NRG Energy historical daily return volatility represents how much of NRG Energy stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company has volatility of 1.7103% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6193% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About NRG Energy Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of NRG Energy or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of NRG Energy may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to NRG's beta indicator, it measures the risk of NRG Energy and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of NRG Energy fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 185 M | 103.2 M | |
| Market Cap | 3.5 B | 2.9 B |
NRG Energy's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on NRG Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much NRG Energy's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize NRG Energy's volatility to invest better
Higher NRG Energy's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of NRG Energy stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. NRG Energy stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of NRG Energy investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in NRG Energy's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of NRG Energy's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
NRG Energy Investment Opportunity
NRG Energy has a volatility of 1.71 and is 2.76 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of NRG Energy is lower than 15 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use NRG Energy to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of NRG Energy to be traded at $81.35 in 90 days.Modest diversification
The correlation between NRG Energy and NYA is 0.21 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding NRG Energy and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
NRG Energy Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of NRG Energy's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NRG Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of NRG Energy stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2025 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.908 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 318.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.71 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
NRG Energy Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against NRG Energy as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. NRG Energy's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, NRG Energy's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to NRG Energy.
When determining whether NRG Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze NRG Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact NRG Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding NRG Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in NRG Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. For more detail on how to invest in NRG Stock please use our How to Invest in NRG Energy guide.You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Complementary Tools for NRG Stock analysis
When running NRG Energy's price analysis, check to measure NRG Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NRG Energy is operating at the current time. Most of NRG Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NRG Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NRG Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NRG Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NRG Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NRG Energy. If investors know NRG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NRG Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.946 | Dividend Share 1.54 | Earnings Share (1.12) | Revenue Per Share 126.417 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
The market value of NRG Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NRG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NRG Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NRG Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NRG Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NRG Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NRG Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NRG Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NRG Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.