Truist Financial Corp Stock Price Prediction
| TFC Stock | USD 38.17 0.20 0.53% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Truist Financial Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Truist Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Truist Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Truist Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Truist Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Truist Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Truist Financial's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.85 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.36 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.84 | Wall Street Target Price 42.2 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Truist Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Truist stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Truist Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using Truist Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Truist Financial Corp from the perspective of Truist Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Truist Financial using Truist Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Truist using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Truist Financial's stock price.
Truist Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Truist Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Truist. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Truist Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Truist Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Truist Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Truist Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 33.3536 | Short Percent 0.0105 | Short Ratio 1.56 | Shares Short Prior Month 13.7 M | 50 Day MA 36.7926 |
Truist Financial Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Truist Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Truist. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Truist can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Truist Financial Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Truist Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Truist Financial.
Truist Financial Implied Volatility | 22.25 |
Truist Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Truist Financial Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Truist Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Truist Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Truist Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Truist Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Truist Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Truist because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Truist Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 38.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Truist contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Truist Financial Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.39% per day over the life of the 2024-04-26 option contract. With Truist Financial trading at USD 38.17, that is roughly USD 0.53 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Truist Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Truist Financial Corp options at the current volatility level of 22.25%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Truist |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Truist Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Truist Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Truist Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Truist Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Truist Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Truist Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Truist Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Truist Financial's historical news coverage. Truist Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.48 and 39.84, respectively. We have considered Truist Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Truist Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Truist Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Truist Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Truist Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Truist Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Truist Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.68 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
38.17 | 38.16 | 0.03 |
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Truist Financial Hype Timeline
On the 27th of April Truist Financial Corp is traded for 38.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Truist is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 38.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Truist Financial is about 657.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.16. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.94. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Truist Financial Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.62. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.38. The firm last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2024. Truist Financial had 2:1 split on the 4th of August 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Truist Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Truist Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Truist Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Truist Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Truist Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Truist Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PNC | PNC Financial Services | (1.81) | 9 per month | 1.57 | 0 | 2.60 | (2.76) | 7.96 | |
| KEY | KeyCorp | 0.08 | 9 per month | 1.77 | (0.02) | 3.02 | (3.11) | 8.29 | |
| WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | (0.96) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.47 | (5.76) | 13.07 | |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation | 0.17 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.83 | (4.61) | 10.32 | |
| USB | US Bancorp | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.56 | (2.78) | 7.45 | |
| MTB | MT Bank Corp | 0.37 | 7 per month | 1.83 | (0) | 2.58 | (2.92) | 7.26 | |
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.42 | 0.03 | 2.97 | (2.23) | 7.70 | |
| HBAN | Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.25 | 0.02 | 3.01 | (2.56) | 6.65 | |
| CMA | Comerica | (0.89) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.56 | (3.33) | 9.93 | |
| PACW | PacWest Bancorp | 0.30 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.89 | (4.55) | 13.55 | |
| RF | Regions Financial | (0.12) | 9 per month | 1.70 | (0) | 2.33 | (2.63) | 8.75 |
Truist Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Truist price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Truist using various technical indicators. When you analyze Truist charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Truist Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Truist Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Truist Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Truist Financial based on analysis of Truist Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Truist Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Truist Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0364 | 0.0523 | 0.0637 | 0.0669 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.39 | 2.57 | 1.48 | 1.4 |
Story Coverage note for Truist Financial
The number of cover stories for Truist Financial depends on current market conditions and Truist Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Truist Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Truist Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Truist Financial Short Properties
Truist Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Truist Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Truist Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Truist Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Truist Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -5.1 B |
Check out Truist Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Truist Financial Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Truist Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Truist Stock analysis
When running Truist Financial's price analysis, check to measure Truist Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Truist Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Truist Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Truist Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Truist Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Truist Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Truist Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Truist Financial. If investors know Truist will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Truist Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 2.08 | Earnings Share (1.38) | Revenue Per Share 15.607 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.23) |
The market value of Truist Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Truist that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Truist Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Truist Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Truist Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Truist Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Truist Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Truist Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Truist Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.