Smart Global Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| SGH Stock | USD 18.02 0.25 1.37% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
27
Oversold | Overbought |
Smart Global Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Smart Global shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Smart Global's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Smart Global and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Smart Global's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Smart Global Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Smart Global's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.2 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.03 | Wall Street Target Price 27.7 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.25 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Smart Global based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Smart stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Smart Global over a specific investment horizon. Using Smart Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smart Global Holdings from the perspective of Smart Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Smart Global using Smart Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Smart using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Smart Global's stock price.
Smart Global Implied Volatility | 54.87 |
Smart Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Smart Global Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Smart Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Smart Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Smart Global's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Smart Global. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Smart Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Smart because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Smart Global after-hype prediction price | USD 18.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Smart |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Smart Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Smart Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Smart Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Smart Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Smart Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Smart Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Smart Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Smart Global's historical news coverage. Smart Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.17 and 22.37, respectively. We have considered Smart Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Smart Global is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Smart Global Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Smart Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Smart Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Smart Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Smart Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 4.10 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.02 | 18.27 | 0.00 |
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Smart Global Hype Timeline
On the 1st of May Smart Global Holdings is traded for 18.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Smart is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Smart Global is about 51250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.02. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Smart Global was at this time reported as 7.75. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.09. Smart Global Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of February 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Smart Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Smart Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Smart Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Smart Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Smart Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Smart Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Smart Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Smart price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smart using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smart charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Smart Global Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Smart Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Smart Global Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Smart Global based on analysis of Smart Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Smart Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Smart Global's related companies. | 2010 | 2017 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 87.88 | 55.52 | 67.18 | 88.43 | PTB Ratio | 3.52 | 5.33 | 3.89 | 4.08 |
Story Coverage note for Smart Global
The number of cover stories for Smart Global depends on current market conditions and Smart Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smart Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smart Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Smart Global Short Properties
Smart Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Smart Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Smart Global Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Smart Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smart Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 390.8 M |
Check out Smart Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Smart Global Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Smart Global's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Smart Stock analysis
When running Smart Global's price analysis, check to measure Smart Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smart Global is operating at the current time. Most of Smart Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smart Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smart Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smart Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
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Is Smart Global's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smart Global. If investors know Smart will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Smart Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | Earnings Share 0.11 | Revenue Per Share 23.891 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) | Return On Assets 0.0178 |
The market value of Smart Global Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Smart that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Smart Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Smart Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Smart Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Smart Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Smart Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smart Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smart Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.