Manitowoc Stock Price Prediction
| MTW Stock | USD 12.64 0.15 1.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Manitowoc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Manitowoc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Manitowoc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Manitowoc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Manitowoc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Manitowoc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Manitowoc's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.436 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.24 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.28 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.53 | Wall Street Target Price 16.67 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Manitowoc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Manitowoc stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Manitowoc over a specific investment horizon. Using Manitowoc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Manitowoc from the perspective of Manitowoc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Manitowoc using Manitowoc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Manitowoc using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Manitowoc's stock price.
Manitowoc Implied Volatility | 53.58 |
Manitowoc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Manitowoc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Manitowoc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Manitowoc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Manitowoc's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Manitowoc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Manitowoc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Manitowoc because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Manitowoc after-hype prediction price | USD 12.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Manitowoc contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Manitowoc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.35% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Manitowoc trading at USD 12.64, that is roughly USD 0.42 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Manitowoc's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Manitowoc options at the current volatility level of 53.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Manitowoc |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Manitowoc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Manitowoc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Manitowoc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Manitowoc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Manitowoc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Manitowoc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Manitowoc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Manitowoc's historical news coverage. Manitowoc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.85 and 15.43, respectively. We have considered Manitowoc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Manitowoc is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Manitowoc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Manitowoc Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Manitowoc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Manitowoc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Manitowoc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 2.79 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 12 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.64 | 12.64 | 0.00 |
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Manitowoc Hype Timeline
On the 28th of April Manitowoc is traded for 12.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Manitowoc is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on Manitowoc is about 575.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.45. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.8. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Manitowoc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.64. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of November 2015. The firm had 1:4 split on the 20th of November 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Manitowoc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Manitowoc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Manitowoc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Manitowoc's future price movements. Getting to know how Manitowoc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Manitowoc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OSK | Oshkosh | (2.21) | 10 per month | 1.54 | 0.05 | 2.63 | (2.70) | 8.49 | |
| ALG | Alamo Group | 1.53 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.26 | (3.45) | 9.47 | |
| WNC | Wabash National | 0.69 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.28 | (3.55) | 10.75 | |
| HY | Hyster Yale Materials Handling | (2.84) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.62 | (4.05) | 21.76 | |
| TEX | Terex | (0.18) | 11 per month | 2.34 | (0) | 2.98 | (2.73) | 16.35 | |
| PCAR | PACCAR Inc | (2.86) | 11 per month | 0.84 | 0.07 | 1.70 | (1.55) | 5.43 | |
| GENC | Gencor Industries | (0.05) | 7 per month | 1.45 | 0.03 | 3.32 | (1.84) | 8.32 | |
| MNTX | Manitex International | 0.17 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.12 | (6.10) | 16.58 | |
| CMCO | Columbus McKinnon | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.81 | 0.06 | 2.23 | (2.45) | 9.50 | |
| REVG | Rev Group | 1.47 | 11 per month | 1.50 | 0.18 | 5.93 | (3.19) | 15.43 | |
| LNN | Lindsay | (0.06) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.34 | (2.96) | 8.83 | |
| ASTE | Astec Industries | (1.30) | 11 per month | 1.78 | 0.11 | 3.20 | (2.64) | 9.94 |
Manitowoc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Manitowoc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Manitowoc using various technical indicators. When you analyze Manitowoc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Manitowoc Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Manitowoc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Manitowoc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Manitowoc based on analysis of Manitowoc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Manitowoc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Manitowoc's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.97 | 1.22 | Dividend Yield | 0.006017 | 0.005716 |
Story Coverage note for Manitowoc
The number of cover stories for Manitowoc depends on current market conditions and Manitowoc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Manitowoc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Manitowoc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Manitowoc Short Properties
Manitowoc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Manitowoc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Manitowoc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Manitowoc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manitowoc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.4 M |
Check out Manitowoc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Manitowoc Stock please use our How to Invest in Manitowoc guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Complementary Tools for Manitowoc Stock analysis
When running Manitowoc's price analysis, check to measure Manitowoc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Manitowoc is operating at the current time. Most of Manitowoc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Manitowoc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Manitowoc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Manitowoc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Manitowoc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Manitowoc. If investors know Manitowoc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Manitowoc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.436 | Earnings Share 1.09 | Revenue Per Share 63.481 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets 0.041 |
The market value of Manitowoc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Manitowoc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Manitowoc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Manitowoc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Manitowoc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Manitowoc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Manitowoc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Manitowoc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Manitowoc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.