Carnival Plc Ads Stock Price Prediction
| CUK Stock | USD 13.60 0.12 0.87% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
29
Oversold | Overbought |
Carnival Plc ADS stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Carnival Plc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Carnival Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Carnival Plc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Carnival Plc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Carnival Plc ADS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Carnival Plc's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.9 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.37 | Wall Street Target Price 44 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.22 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Carnival Plc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Carnival stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Carnival Plc over a specific investment horizon. Using Carnival Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carnival Plc ADS from the perspective of Carnival Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Carnival Plc using Carnival Plc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Carnival using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Carnival Plc's stock price.
Carnival Plc Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Carnival Plc's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Carnival. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Carnival Plc stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Carnival Plc may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Carnival Plc and may potentially protect profits, hedge Carnival Plc with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 14.0999 | Short Percent 0.0019 | Short Ratio 0.43 | Shares Short Prior Month 393.7 K | 50 Day MA 14.1068 |
Carnival Plc ADS Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Carnival Plc's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Carnival. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Carnival can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Carnival Plc ADS. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Carnival Plc's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Carnival Plc.
Carnival Plc Implied Volatility | 56.38 |
Carnival Plc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Carnival Plc ADS stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Carnival Plc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Carnival Plc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Carnival Plc's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Carnival Plc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Carnival Plc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Carnival because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Carnival Plc after-hype prediction price | USD 13.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Carnival |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Carnival Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Carnival Plc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Carnival Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carnival Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Carnival Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Carnival Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Carnival Plc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carnival Plc's historical news coverage. Carnival Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.17 and 15.91, respectively. We have considered Carnival Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Carnival Plc is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carnival Plc ADS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Carnival Plc Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Carnival Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carnival Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carnival Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.35 | 0.02 | 0.86 | 12 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.60 | 13.54 | 0.44 |
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Carnival Plc Hype Timeline
On the 27th of April Carnival Plc ADS is traded for 13.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.86. Carnival is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Carnival Plc is about 38.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.74. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Carnival Plc was currently reported as 5.27. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.04. Carnival Plc ADS last dividend was issued on the 20th of February 2020. The entity had 1201:1000 split on the 21st of April 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Carnival Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Carnival Plc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Carnival Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carnival Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Carnival Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carnival Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCL | Carnival | (0.07) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.53 | (3.89) | 12.59 | |
| ABNB | AirbnbInc | (0.08) | 10 per month | 1.76 | 0.08 | 4.03 | (3.28) | 10.06 | |
| EXPE | Expedia Group | (1.21) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.61 | (2.23) | 21.08 | |
| BKNG | Booking Holdings | (29.07) | 10 per month | 2.18 | (0.03) | 2.07 | (2.78) | 14.45 | |
| TRIP | TripAdvisor | (0.31) | 6 per month | 1.30 | 0.13 | 4.01 | (2.20) | 18.53 |
Carnival Plc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Carnival price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carnival using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carnival charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Carnival Plc Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Carnival Plc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Carnival Plc ADS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carnival Plc based on analysis of Carnival Plc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Carnival Plc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Carnival Plc's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 3.18 | 2.66 | Dividend Yield | 0.04 | 0.042 |
Story Coverage note for Carnival Plc
The number of cover stories for Carnival Plc depends on current market conditions and Carnival Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Carnival Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Carnival Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Carnival Plc Short Properties
Carnival Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Carnival Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Carnival Plc ADS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Carnival Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carnival Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 B |
Check out Carnival Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
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When running Carnival Plc's price analysis, check to measure Carnival Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carnival Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Carnival Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carnival Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carnival Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carnival Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Carnival Plc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carnival Plc. If investors know Carnival will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carnival Plc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | Earnings Share 0.32 | Revenue Per Share 17.868 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.22 | Return On Assets 0.0294 |
The market value of Carnival Plc ADS is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carnival that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carnival Plc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carnival Plc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carnival Plc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carnival Plc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carnival Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carnival Plc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carnival Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.