Api Groupcorp Stock Price Prediction
| APG Stock | USD 36.95 0.39 1.04% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Api GroupCorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Api GroupCorp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Api GroupCorp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Api GroupCorp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Api GroupCorp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Api GroupCorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Api GroupCorp's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.595 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.47 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.88 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.18 | Wall Street Target Price 45.56 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Api GroupCorp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Api stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Api GroupCorp over a specific investment horizon. Using Api GroupCorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Api GroupCorp from the perspective of Api GroupCorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Api GroupCorp using Api GroupCorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Api using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Api GroupCorp's stock price.
Api GroupCorp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Api GroupCorp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Api. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Api GroupCorp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Api GroupCorp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Api GroupCorp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Api GroupCorp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 31.5192 | Short Percent 0.0438 | Short Ratio 5.75 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.6 M | 50 Day MA 38.0714 |
Api GroupCorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Api GroupCorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Api. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Api can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Api GroupCorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Api GroupCorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Api GroupCorp.
Api GroupCorp Implied Volatility | 33.21 |
Api GroupCorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Api GroupCorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Api GroupCorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Api GroupCorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Api GroupCorp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Api GroupCorp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Api GroupCorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Api because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Api GroupCorp after-hype prediction price | USD 36.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Api |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Api GroupCorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Api GroupCorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Api GroupCorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Api GroupCorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Api GroupCorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Api GroupCorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Api GroupCorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Api GroupCorp's historical news coverage. Api GroupCorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.24 and 38.72, respectively. We have considered Api GroupCorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Api GroupCorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Api GroupCorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Api GroupCorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Api GroupCorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Api GroupCorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Api GroupCorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.74 | 0.03 | 0.33 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.95 | 36.98 | 0.08 |
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Api GroupCorp Hype Timeline
On the 4th of May Api GroupCorp is traded for 36.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.33. Api is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.98 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Api GroupCorp is about 95.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.62. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.93 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 153 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.74 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Api GroupCorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Api GroupCorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Api GroupCorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Api GroupCorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Api GroupCorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Api GroupCorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BLD | Topbuild Corp | (14.60) | 12 per month | 1.95 | 0.05 | 3.26 | (3.10) | 11.23 | |
| MYRG | MYR Group | (5.46) | 8 per month | 2.81 | 0 | 3.25 | (4.86) | 8.98 | |
| FIX | Comfort Systems USA | (1.77) | 12 per month | 1.66 | 0.18 | 4.03 | (3.02) | 17.56 | |
| ROAD | Construction Partners | 1.90 | 7 per month | 2.34 | 0.08 | 3.22 | (3.06) | 10.85 | |
| PRIM | Primoris Services | 0.17 | 9 per month | 1.56 | 0.22 | 4.32 | (2.27) | 12.86 | |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.93 | 0.20 | 2.58 | (1.67) | 7.39 | |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Co | (0.34) | 8 per month | 1.58 | 0.06 | 5.28 | (2.93) | 27.04 | |
| ACA | Arcosa Inc | (0.22) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.05 | (2.60) | 8.34 | |
| EME | EMCOR Group | 2.29 | 9 per month | 0.59 | 0.34 | 3.09 | (1.78) | 12.73 | |
| DY | Dycom Industries | (0.26) | 12 per month | 1.56 | 0.16 | 2.55 | (2.72) | 6.91 |
Api GroupCorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Api price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Api using various technical indicators. When you analyze Api charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Api GroupCorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Api GroupCorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Api GroupCorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Api GroupCorp based on analysis of Api GroupCorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Api GroupCorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Api GroupCorp's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0794 | 0.0706 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.17 | 0.76 |
Story Coverage note for Api GroupCorp
The number of cover stories for Api GroupCorp depends on current market conditions and Api GroupCorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Api GroupCorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Api GroupCorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Api GroupCorp Short Properties
Api GroupCorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Api GroupCorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Api GroupCorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Api GroupCorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Api GroupCorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 235.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 479 M |
Check out Api GroupCorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Api Stock please use our How to Invest in Api GroupCorp guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Complementary Tools for Api Stock analysis
When running Api GroupCorp's price analysis, check to measure Api GroupCorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Api GroupCorp is operating at the current time. Most of Api GroupCorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Api GroupCorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Api GroupCorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Api GroupCorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Api GroupCorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Api GroupCorp. If investors know Api will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Api GroupCorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.595 | Earnings Share (2.07) | Revenue Per Share 29.464 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.033 | Return On Assets 0.0296 |
The market value of Api GroupCorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Api that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Api GroupCorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Api GroupCorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Api GroupCorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Api GroupCorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Api GroupCorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Api GroupCorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Api GroupCorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.