Manning Napier Core Fund Market Value
| MCBWX Fund | USD 9.08 0.04 0.44% |
| Symbol | Manning |
Manning Napier 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Manning Napier's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Manning Napier.
| 04/04/2024 |
| 05/04/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Manning Napier on April 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Manning Napier Core or generate 0.0% return on investment in Manning Napier over 30 days. Manning Napier is related to or competes with Aqr Large, T Rowe, Qs Us, Jhancock Disciplined, Touchstone Large, Fidelity Series, and T Rowe. The Series will invest, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in investment grade bonds and ... More
Manning Napier Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Manning Napier's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Manning Napier Core upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.25) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.65) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4425 |
Manning Napier Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Manning Napier's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Manning Napier's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Manning Napier historical prices to predict the future Manning Napier's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.06) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Manning Napier's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Manning Napier Core Backtested Returns
Manning Napier Core has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0189, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0189% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Manning Napier exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Manning Napier's Standard Deviation of 0.3389, mean deviation of 0.2665, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.26, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Manning Napier's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Manning Napier is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.43 |
Modest reverse predictability
Manning Napier Core has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Manning Napier time series from 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024 and 19th of April 2024 to 4th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Manning Napier Core price movement. The serial correlation of -0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Manning Napier price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.43 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.62 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Manning Napier Core lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Manning Napier mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Manning Napier's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Manning Napier returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Manning Napier has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Manning Napier regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Manning Napier mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Manning Napier mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Manning Napier mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Manning Napier Lagged Returns
When evaluating Manning Napier's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Manning Napier mutual fund have on its future price. Manning Napier autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Manning Napier autocorrelation shows the relationship between Manning Napier mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Manning Napier Core.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Manning Napier in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Manning Napier's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Manning Napier options trading.
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Manning Napier technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.