Destination Xl Group Stock Beneish M Score

DXLG Stock  USD 3.37  0.03  0.88%   
This module uses fundamental data of Destination to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Destination M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Destination Piotroski F Score and Destination Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Destination's Net Debt To EBITDA is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. At this time, Destination's PTB Ratio is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Destination's current Days Sales Outstanding is estimated to increase to 3.19, while Free Cash Flow Yield is projected to decrease to (0.11).
At this time, it appears that Destination XL Group is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Destination's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Destination executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Destination's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.87
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.15

Focus
Asset Quality

-1.11

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.23

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.01

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.23

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.01

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.69

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.58

Focus

Destination Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Destination's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables3.1 M3.9 M
Significantly Down
Very volatile
Total Revenue359.1 M521.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets212.5 M357.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets105.3 M153.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total107.2 M204.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment197.3 M187.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization14.3 M13.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Pretty Stable
Selling General Administrative139.9 M165.6 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities70.1 M89.9 M
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities Total124.9 M118.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt22.9 M37.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.460.4572
Slightly Up
Slightly volatile

Destination XL Group Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Destination's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Destination in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Destination's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Destination Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

14.3 Million

At this time, Destination's Depreciation And Amortization is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

Destination Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Destination. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables6.2M6.4M2.1M1.7M3.9M3.1M
Total Revenue474.0M318.9M505.0M545.8M521.8M359.1M
Total Assets390.9M306.8M280.0M350.6M357.7M212.5M
Total Current Assets123.9M114.1M106.0M154.0M153.2M105.3M
Net Debt273.0M234.8M175.3M129.5M126.9M133.3M
Short Term Debt39.3M59.5M35.2M37.3M37.2M22.9M
Long Term Debt10.7M14.8M14.8M14.9M13.4M12.7M
Operating Income(1.0M)(45.7M)62.0M58.6M42.1M44.2M
Investments(13.4M)(4.2M)(5.3M)(9.6M)(49.1M)(46.7M)

About Destination Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Destination XL Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Destination using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Destination XL Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Destination

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Destination position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Destination will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Destination Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Destination could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Destination when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Destination - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Destination XL Group to buy it.
The correlation of Destination is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Destination moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Destination XL Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Destination can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Destination XL Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Destination's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Destination's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Destination Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Destination Piotroski F Score and Destination Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Destination Stock analysis

When running Destination's price analysis, check to measure Destination's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Destination is operating at the current time. Most of Destination's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Destination's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Destination's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Destination to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Destination's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Destination. If investors know Destination will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Destination listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
Earnings Share
0.43
Revenue Per Share
8.552
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Return On Assets
0.0742
The market value of Destination XL Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Destination that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Destination's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Destination's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Destination's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Destination's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Destination's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Destination is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Destination's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.