Argenx Nv Adr Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ARGX Stock  USD 387.95  4.61  1.20%   
Argenx NV's chance of distress is below 50% at this time. It has small odds of experiencing financial hardship in the next few years. Probability of bankruptcy shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Argenx balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Argenx NV Piotroski F Score and Argenx NV Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Market Cap is likely to rise to about 22.8 B in 2024. Working Capital is likely to rise to about 386.4 M in 2024

argenx NV ADR Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Argenx NV's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Argenx NV Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 43%  
Most of Argenx NV's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, argenx NV ADR is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Argenx NV probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Argenx NV odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of argenx NV ADR financial health.
Is Argenx NV's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Argenx NV. If investors know Argenx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Argenx NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(5.14)
Revenue Per Share
0.8876
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.349
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(0.09)
The market value of argenx NV ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Argenx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Argenx NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Argenx NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Argenx NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Argenx NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Argenx NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Argenx NV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Argenx NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Argenx Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Argenx NV is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Argenx Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Argenx NV's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Argenx NV's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Argenx NV's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, argenx NV ADR has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 43.0%. This indicator is about the same for the Biotechnology average (which is currently at 43.29) sector and 21.59% lower than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 7.96% lower than that of the firm.

Argenx Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Argenx NV's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Argenx NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Argenx NV by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Argenx NV is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Argenx NV Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.12)(0.11)(0.28)(0.23)(0.065)(0.0682)
Asset Turnover0.04870.01960.170.130.270.28
Net Debt(363.8M)(1.2B)(1.3B)(788.3M)(2.0B)(1.9B)
Total Current Liabilities179.2M329.3M301.2M302.3M423.0M444.1M
Non Current Liabilities Total249.4M277.5M14.8M18.3M22.0M20.9M
Total Assets1.6B2.3B2.9B3.1B4.5B4.8B
Total Current Assets1.5B2.1B2.5B2.8B4.1B4.3B
Total Cash From Operating Activities150.8M(426.0M)(606.8M)(862.8M)(420.3M)(399.3M)

Argenx Fundamentals

About Argenx NV Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze argenx NV ADR's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Argenx NV using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of argenx NV ADR based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Argenx NV in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Argenx NV's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Argenx NV options trading.

Pair Trading with Argenx NV

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Argenx NV position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Argenx NV will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Argenx Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Argenx NV could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Argenx NV when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Argenx NV - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling argenx NV ADR to buy it.
The correlation of Argenx NV is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Argenx NV moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if argenx NV ADR moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Argenx NV can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether argenx NV ADR offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Argenx NV's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Argenx Nv Adr Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Argenx Nv Adr Stock:
Check out Argenx NV Piotroski F Score and Argenx NV Altman Z Score analysis.
Note that the argenx NV ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Argenx NV's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for Argenx Stock analysis

When running Argenx NV's price analysis, check to measure Argenx NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Argenx NV is operating at the current time. Most of Argenx NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Argenx NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Argenx NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Argenx NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Argenx NV's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Argenx NV. If investors know Argenx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Argenx NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(5.14)
Revenue Per Share
0.8876
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.349
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(0.09)
The market value of argenx NV ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Argenx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Argenx NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Argenx NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Argenx NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Argenx NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Argenx NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Argenx NV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Argenx NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.