Correlation Between Magnolia Oil and Obsidian Energy

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Magnolia Oil and Obsidian Energy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Magnolia Oil and Obsidian Energy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Magnolia Oil Gas and Obsidian Energy, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Magnolia Oil and Obsidian Energy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Magnolia Oil with a short position of Obsidian Energy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Magnolia Oil and Obsidian Energy.

Diversification Opportunities for Magnolia Oil and Obsidian Energy

0.96
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Magnolia and Obsidian is 0.96. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Magnolia Oil Gas and Obsidian Energy in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Obsidian Energy and Magnolia Oil is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Magnolia Oil Gas are associated (or correlated) with Obsidian Energy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Obsidian Energy has no effect on the direction of Magnolia Oil i.e., Magnolia Oil and Obsidian Energy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Magnolia Oil and Obsidian Energy

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Magnolia Oil Gas is expected to under-perform the Obsidian Energy. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Magnolia Oil Gas is 1.68 times less risky than Obsidian Energy. The stock trades about -0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Obsidian Energy is currently generating about -0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  851.00  in Obsidian Energy on February 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (29.00) from holding Obsidian Energy or give up 3.41% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Magnolia Oil Gas  vs.  Obsidian Energy

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Magnolia Oil Gas 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

19 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Magnolia Oil Gas are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Magnolia Oil showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Obsidian Energy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Obsidian Energy are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady fundamental drivers, Obsidian Energy exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Magnolia Oil and Obsidian Energy Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Magnolia Oil and Obsidian Energy

The main advantage of trading using opposite Magnolia Oil and Obsidian Energy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Magnolia Oil position performs unexpectedly, Obsidian Energy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Obsidian Energy will offset losses from the drop in Obsidian Energy's long position.
The idea behind Magnolia Oil Gas and Obsidian Energy pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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