Correlation Between First Trust and ProShares UltraShort

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Trust and ProShares UltraShort at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Trust and ProShares UltraShort into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Trust Natural and ProShares UltraShort Utilities, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Trust and ProShares UltraShort and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Trust with a short position of ProShares UltraShort. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Trust and ProShares UltraShort.

Diversification Opportunities for First Trust and ProShares UltraShort

-0.88
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between First and ProShares is -0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Trust Natural and ProShares UltraShort Utilities in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares UltraShort and First Trust is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Trust Natural are associated (or correlated) with ProShares UltraShort. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares UltraShort has no effect on the direction of First Trust i.e., First Trust and ProShares UltraShort go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Trust and ProShares UltraShort

Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust Natural is expected to generate 0.61 times more return on investment than ProShares UltraShort. However, First Trust Natural is 1.65 times less risky than ProShares UltraShort. It trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ProShares UltraShort Utilities is currently generating about -0.23 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,798  in First Trust Natural on February 4, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (96.00) from holding First Trust Natural or give up 3.43% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Trust Natural  vs.  ProShares UltraShort Utilities

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Trust Natural 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

19 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Natural are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady fundamental indicators, First Trust reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
ProShares UltraShort 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ProShares UltraShort Utilities has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with conflicting performance in the last few months, the Etf's fundamental indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in June 2024. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the ETF retail investors.

First Trust and ProShares UltraShort Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Trust and ProShares UltraShort

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Trust and ProShares UltraShort positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Trust position performs unexpectedly, ProShares UltraShort can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares UltraShort will offset losses from the drop in ProShares UltraShort's long position.
The idea behind First Trust Natural and ProShares UltraShort Utilities pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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