Mogo Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MOGO Stock  USD 1.87  0.01  0.53%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mogo Inc is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Mogo buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Mogo positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Mogo's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Mogo's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
3.32
Target Price
7.99
Hype Value
1.78
Market Value
1.87
Naive Value
1.82
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Mogo Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Mogo. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Mogo Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Mogo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mogo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Mogo Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Mogo Buy or Sell Advice

The Mogo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mogo Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mogo Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mogo's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MogoBuy Mogo
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

DangerousDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Mogo Inc has a Mean Deviation of 3.65, Semi Deviation of 4.06, Standard Deviation of 5.11, Variance of 26.07, Downside Variance of 20.98 and Semi Variance of 16.48
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Mogo Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Mogo Inc is not overpriced, please verify all Mogo Inc fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, total debt, total asset, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Please also check out Mogo number of shares shorted to check your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Mogo Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Mogo Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Mogo Inc may become a speculative penny stock
Mogo Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 64.83 M. Net Loss for the year was (17.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 23.62 M.
Mogo Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mogo Reiterates Support for KAOS Capitals Call for Change at WonderFi Technologies - Marketscreener.com

Mogo Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mogo's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mogo's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mogo daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mogo Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mogo returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mogo.
Mean Return
0.51
Value At Risk
-9.69
Potential Upside
9.60
Standard Deviation
5.11
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mogo historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mogo Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Mogo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mogo Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Mogo's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Mogo's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-12-31
15.9 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
15.1 K
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
13.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
8.7 K
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2023-12-31
3.8 K
Simplex Trading, Llc2023-12-31
2.5 K
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
917
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
500
Steward Partners Investment Advisory, Llc2023-12-31
200
Toroso Investments Llc2023-12-31
2.4 M
Mariner Wealth Advisors, Llc2023-12-31
601.5 K
Note, although Mogo's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Mogo Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Investments(9.1M)(4.8M)(31.2M)(9.1M)(2.8M)(2.9M)
Change In Cash(10.0M)1.7M57.1M(38.5M)(13.1M)(12.5M)
Net Borrowings19.8M1.1M(39.7M)4.6M4.2M3.7M
Depreciation8.0M8.4M12.7M12.6M9.1M6.7M
Capital Expenditures9.1M4.8M8.0M7.9M3.4M6.8M
Net Income(10.8M)(13.4M)(33.2M)(165.7M)(17.9M)(18.8M)
End Period Cash Flow10.4M12.1M69.2M29.3M16.1M27.4M
Change To Netincome22.4M9.9M18.0M7.7M8.8M13.3M
Free Cash Flow(24.3M)39.0M(37.6M)(34.9M)6.2M6.5M
Other Non Cash Items20.3M44.3M(2.9M)137.0M35.4M26.3M

Mogo Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mogo or Consumer Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mogo's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mogo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.34
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.06
σ
Overall volatility
5.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Mogo Volatility Alert

Mogo Inc exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mogo's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mogo's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Mogo Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mogo's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mogo's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mogo and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mogo or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mogo's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mogo by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mogo to competition
FundamentalsMogoPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.17-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0833-0.14
Profit Margin(0.43) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.31) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation118.28 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding24.33 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders12.50 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions16.35 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted397.84 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(2.90) X28.72 X
Price To Book0.77 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.16 X11.42 X
Revenue64.83 M9.43 B
Gross Profit23.62 M27.38 B
EBITDA29.28 M3.9 B
Net Income(17.89 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents44.46 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.59 X5.01 X
Total Debt88.9 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.45 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.65 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.85 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations9.65 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.07 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.92) X3.12 X
Target Price7.99
Beta3.52-0.15
Market Capitalization45.49 M19.03 B
Total Asset207.76 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(331.83 M)9.33 B
Working Capital32.92 M1.48 B
Net Asset207.76 M

Mogo Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mogo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Mogo Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Mogo Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Mogo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Cash69.2M29.3M16.1M26.8M
Accounts Payable5.0M5.7M6.5M5.6M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Mogo in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Size And Style ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Size And Style ETFs
Size And Style ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Size And Style ETFs theme has 943 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Size And Style ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Mogo Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Mogo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mogo Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mogo Inc Stock:
Check out Mogo Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Mogo Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mogo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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Is Mogo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mogo. If investors know Mogo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mogo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.92)
Revenue Per Share
1.669
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
Return On Assets
(0.08)
Return On Equity
(0.17)
The market value of Mogo Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mogo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mogo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mogo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mogo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mogo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mogo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mogo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mogo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.