Gulf Island Fabrication Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GIFI Stock | USD 6.98 0.12 1.69% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Gulf Island Fabrication is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Gulf Island buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GIFI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Gulf Island's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Gulf Island's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 5.25 | Target Price 4 | Hype Value 6.96 | Market Value 6.98 | Naive Value 7.76 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Gulf Island Fabrication given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Gulf Island. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Gulf Island Fabrication, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Gulf |
Execute Gulf Island Buy or Sell Advice
The Gulf recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Gulf Island Fabrication. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Gulf Island Fabrication or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Gulf Island's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Relatively risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Gulf Island Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Gulf Island appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 151.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.89 M. | |
| Gulf Island has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 11600 shares by William Chiles of Gulf Island subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Gulf Island Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Gulf Island's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Gulf Island's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Gulf Island daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Gulf Island Fabrication price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Gulf Island returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Gulf Island.
| Mean Return | 0.76 | Value At Risk | -4.45 | Potential Upside | 5.79 | Standard Deviation | 4.54 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Gulf Island historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Gulf Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Gulf Island is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gulf Island Fabrication backward and forwards among themselves. Gulf Island's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Gulf Island's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Abel Hall Llc | 2023-12-31 | 103.8 K | Nierenberg Investment Management Co | 2023-12-31 | 88.6 K | Aristides Capital Llc | 2023-12-31 | 68 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 67.1 K | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 52 K | Marquette Asset Management Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 43.7 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 40.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 37.2 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 32.2 K | First Wilshire Securities Mgmt Inc (ca) | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | Solas Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 870.7 K |
Gulf Island Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (20.8M) | (6.5M) | 11.4M | (19.8M) | 4.8M | 5.1M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (10.9M) | (30.2M) | (26.3M) | (12.0M) | 4.3M | 4.5M | |
| Depreciation | 9.6M | 8.7M | 5.4M | 5.1M | 5.5M | 5.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 16.4M | 3.5M | 2.6M | (697K) | (8.1M) | (7.7M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.8M | 11.2M | 1.5M | 3.1M | 2.9M | 2.7M | |
| Net Income | (49.4M) | (27.4M) | (22.2M) | (3.4M) | (24.4M) | (23.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 49.7M | 43.2M | 54.6M | 34.8M | 39.7M | 30.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | 827K | 18.0M | 4.7M | 18.0M | 20.7M | 21.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | (20.7M) | (16.2M) | (6.3M) | 3.2M | 3.6M | 3.8M | |
| Change Receivables | (9.9M) | 3.0M | (3.7M) | 10.7M | 12.3M | 12.9M | |
| Investments | (11.2M) | 2.6M | 8M | (8.9M) | (503K) | (528.2K) | |
| Net Borrowings | (48K) | 10M | (1.1M) | (1.7M) | (2.0M) | (1.9M) |
Gulf Island Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Gulf Island or Energy Equipment & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Gulf Island's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Gulf stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.70 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Gulf Island Volatility Alert
Gulf Island Fabrication shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gulf Island's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gulf Island's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Gulf Island Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Gulf Island's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Gulf Island's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Gulf Island and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Gulf Island or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Gulf Island's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gulf Island by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Gulf Island to competition |
| Fundamentals | Gulf Island | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.27 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.13 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.16) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 89.94 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 16.2 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 8.36 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 61.65 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 85.4 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (8.98) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.31 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.68 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 151.07 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 7.89 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (24.21 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (24.4 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 39.12 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.46 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 20 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.03 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.72 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.86 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 7.2 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.51 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.51) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.29) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 8.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 839 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.48 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 115 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 128.43 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (41.37 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 71.78 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 11600 shares by William Chiles of Gulf Island subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Gulf Island Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Gulf . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Gulf Island Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Gulf Island Fabrication? Buying financial instruments such as Gulf Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 13.4M | 13.6M | 14.8M | 14.5M | Total Assets | 135.3M | 134.9M | 128.4M | 256.8M |
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Check out Gulf Island Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Gulf Island Fabrication information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gulf Island's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for Gulf Stock analysis
When running Gulf Island's price analysis, check to measure Gulf Island's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gulf Island is operating at the current time. Most of Gulf Island's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gulf Island's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gulf Island's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gulf Island to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gulf Island's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gulf Island. If investors know Gulf will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gulf Island listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 9.75 | Earnings Share (1.51) | Revenue Per Share 9.329 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.168 | Return On Assets (0.13) |
The market value of Gulf Island Fabrication is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gulf that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gulf Island's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gulf Island's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gulf Island's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gulf Island's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gulf Island's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gulf Island is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gulf Island's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.