Cathay Pacific Airways Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CPCAY Stock  USD 5.39  0.02  0.37%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cathay Pacific Airways is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Cathay Pacific buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CPCAY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Cathay Pacific's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Cathay Pacific's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
4.42
Hype Value
5.39
Market Value
5.39
Naive Value
5.57
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Cathay Pacific Airways given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Cathay Pacific. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Cathay Pacific Airways, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Cathay Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cathay and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Cathay Pacific Airways. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Cathay Pacific Buy or Sell Advice

The Cathay recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cathay Pacific Airways. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cathay Pacific Airways or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cathay Pacific's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Cathay PacificBuy Cathay Pacific
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Cathay Pacific Airways has a Mean Deviation of 1.89, Semi Deviation of 2.42, Standard Deviation of 2.68, Variance of 7.2, Downside Variance of 7.73 and Semi Variance of 5.86
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Cathay Pacific Airways. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Cathay Pacific is not overpriced, please confirm all Cathay Pacific Airways fundamentals, including its ebitda, price to earnings to growth, net asset, as well as the relationship between the debt to equity and retained earnings . Given that Cathay Pacific Airways has a price to book of 0.78 X, we suggest you to validate Cathay Pacific Airways market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Cathay Pacific Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has accumulated 39.06 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.22, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Cathay Pacific Airways has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cathay Pacific until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cathay Pacific's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Cathay Pacific Airways sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cathay to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cathay Pacific's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 45.59 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.53 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.89 B.

Cathay Pacific Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Cathay Pacific's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cathay Pacific's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cathay Pacific daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cathay Pacific Airways price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cathay Pacific returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cathay Pacific.
Mean Return
0.23
Value At Risk
-3.72
Potential Upside
5.17
Standard Deviation
2.68
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cathay Pacific historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Cathay Pacific Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cathay Pacific or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cathay Pacific's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cathay pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.24
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.36
σ
Overall volatility
2.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Cathay Pacific Volatility Alert

Cathay Pacific Airways currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cathay Pacific's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cathay Pacific's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Cathay Pacific Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Cathay Pacific's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cathay Pacific's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cathay Pacific and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cathay Pacific or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cathay Pacific's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cathay Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Cathay Pacific to competition
FundamentalsCathay PacificPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0428-0.31
Return On Asset0.0087-0.14
Profit Margin(0.06) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation15.43 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.29 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions0.01 %39.21 %
Price To Earning55.41 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.78 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.14 X11.42 X
Revenue45.59 B9.43 B
Gross Profit15.89 B27.38 B
EBITDA9.21 B3.9 B
Net Income(5.53 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents17.17 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share13.34 X5.01 X
Total Debt39.06 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.22 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.63 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share38.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations8.84 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.60) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth5.48 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees20.8 K18.84 K
Beta0.79-0.15
Market Capitalization6.4 B19.03 B
Total Asset196.63 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings45.19 B9.33 B
Working Capital(15.7 B)1.48 B
Current Asset32.46 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities48.16 B7.9 B
Annual Yield0.12 %
Net Asset196.63 B

Cathay Pacific Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cathay . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Cathay Pacific Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Cathay Pacific Airways? Buying financial instruments such as Cathay Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Cathay Pacific in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Food Products Thematic Idea Now

Food Products
Food Products Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Food Products theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Food Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Cathay Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Cathay Pacific Airways information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cathay Pacific's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

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When running Cathay Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Cathay Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cathay Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Cathay Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cathay Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cathay Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cathay Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Cathay Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cathay Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cathay Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.