Ultra Fund Y Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AULYX Fund  USD 73.68  7.24  3.24%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ultra Fund Y is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Ultra Fund buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AULYX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Ultra Fund's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Ultra Fund's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
87.54
Hype Value
87.95
Market Value
89.19
Naive Value
89.45
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ultra Fund Y given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Ultra Fund. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ultra Fund Y, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Ultra Fund Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual funds such as Ultra and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Ultra Fund Y. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Execute Ultra Fund Buy or Sell Advice

The Ultra recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ultra Fund Y. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ultra Fund Y or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ultra Fund's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Ultra FundBuy Ultra Fund
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Ultra Fund Y has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0361, Jensen Alpha of (0.02), Total Risk Alpha of (0.07), Sortino Ratio of (0.02) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0427
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Ultra Fund Y to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Ultra Fund Y. Our trade recommendation engine determines the fund's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. Please use Ultra Fund Y total asset, three year return, as well as the relationship between the Three Year Return and net asset to make buy, hold, or sell decision on Ultra Fund.

Ultra Fund Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The fund holds 99.77% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Ultra Fund Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ultra Fund's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ultra Fund's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ultra Fund daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ultra Fund Y price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ultra Fund returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ultra Fund.
Mean Return
0.05
Value At Risk
-1.65
Potential Upside
1.79
Standard Deviation
1.07
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ultra Fund historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ultra Fund Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ultra Fund or American Century Investments sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ultra Fund's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ultra fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Ultra Fund Volatility Alert

Ultra Fund Y has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.04, Maximum Drawdown of 5.71 and kurtosis of 0.56. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ultra Fund's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ultra Fund's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Ultra Fund Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ultra Fund's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ultra Fund's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ultra Fund and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ultra Fund or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ultra Fund's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ultra Fund by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ultra Fund to competition
FundamentalsUltra FundPeer Average
Year To Date Return9.90 %0.39 %
One Year Return36.02 %4.15 %
Three Year Return7.25 %3.60 %
Five Year Return17.09 %3.24 %
Ten Year Return16.37 %1.79 %
Net Asset12.57 B4.11 B
Cash Position Weight0.23 %10.61 %
Equity Positions Weight99.77 %63.90 %

Ultra Fund Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ultra . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ultra Fund Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ultra Fund Y? Buying financial instruments such as Ultra Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ultra Fund in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Railroads Thematic Idea Now

Railroads
Railroads Theme
Companies involved in manufacturing and maintenance of freight railroads and passenger trains as well as providing railroad services to public. The Railroads theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Railroads Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Ultra Fund Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ultra Fund's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ultra Fund is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ultra Fund's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.