1867 Western Financial Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 5150.00

WFCL Stock  USD 5,150  0.00  0.00%   
1867 Western's future price is the expected price of 1867 Western instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of 1867 Western Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 1867 Western Backtesting, 1867 Western Valuation, 1867 Western Correlation, 1867 Western Hype Analysis, 1867 Western Volatility, 1867 Western History as well as 1867 Western Performance.
  
Please specify 1867 Western's target price for which you would like 1867 Western odds to be computed.

1867 Western Target Price Odds to finish over 5150.00

The tendency of 1867 Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5,150 90 days 5,150 
about 36.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1867 Western to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 36.7 (This 1867 Western Financial probability density function shows the probability of 1867 Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days 1867 Western Financial has a beta of -0.17. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 1867 Western are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, 1867 Western Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally 1867 Western Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   1867 Western Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 1867 Western

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1867 Western Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1867 Western's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,1165,1175,117
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5,1535,1535,153
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 1867 Western. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 1867 Western's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 1867 Western's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 1867 Western Financial.

1867 Western Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1867 Western is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1867 Western's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1867 Western Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1867 Western within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.15
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
167.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

1867 Western Technical Analysis

1867 Western's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1867 Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1867 Western Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1867 Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

1867 Western Predictive Forecast Models

1867 Western's time-series forecasting models is one of many 1867 Western's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 1867 Western's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards 1867 Western in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, 1867 Western's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from 1867 Western options trading.
Check out 1867 Western Backtesting, 1867 Western Valuation, 1867 Western Correlation, 1867 Western Hype Analysis, 1867 Western Volatility, 1867 Western History as well as 1867 Western Performance.
Note that the 1867 Western Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other 1867 Western's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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When running 1867 Western's price analysis, check to measure 1867 Western's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1867 Western is operating at the current time. Most of 1867 Western's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1867 Western's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1867 Western's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1867 Western to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between 1867 Western's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 1867 Western is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 1867 Western's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.