Invesco Core Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 5.49
| TRTMX Fund | USD 5.49 0.02 0.36% |
Invesco |
Invesco Core Target Price Odds to finish over 5.49
The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 5.49 | 90 days | 5.49 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Core to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Invesco Core Bond probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Core has a beta of 0.24. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Invesco Core average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Core Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Core Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Invesco Core Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Invesco Core
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Core Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Core's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco Core Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Core is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Core's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Core Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Core within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Invesco Core Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Core for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Core Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Invesco Core Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -4.0% | |
| Invesco Core Bond maintains about 6.95% of its assets in bonds |
Invesco Core Technical Analysis
Invesco Core's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Core Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco Core Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco Core's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Core's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Core's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Invesco Core Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Core for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Core Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Invesco Core Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -4.0% | |
| Invesco Core Bond maintains about 6.95% of its assets in bonds |
Check out Invesco Core Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Core Correlation, Invesco Core Hype Analysis, Invesco Core Volatility, Invesco Core History as well as Invesco Core Performance. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.