Thornburg Global Opportunities Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 36.61
| THOGX Fund | USD 37.14 0.24 0.65% |
Thornburg |
Thornburg Global Target Price Odds to finish below 36.61
The tendency of Thornburg Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 36.61 or more in 90 days |
| 37.14 | 90 days | 36.61 | about 77.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thornburg Global to drop to $ 36.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.8 (This Thornburg Global Opportunities probability density function shows the probability of Thornburg Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thornburg Global Opp price to stay between $ 36.61 and its current price of $37.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thornburg Global has a beta of 0.024. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thornburg Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thornburg Global Opportunities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Thornburg Global Opportunities has an alpha of 0.1343, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Thornburg Global Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Thornburg Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thornburg Global Opp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thornburg Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Thornburg Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thornburg Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thornburg Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thornburg Global Opportunities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thornburg Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Thornburg Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thornburg Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thornburg Global Opp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Thornburg Global Technical Analysis
Thornburg Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thornburg Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thornburg Global Opportunities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thornburg Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Thornburg Global Predictive Forecast Models
Thornburg Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thornburg Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thornburg Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Thornburg Global Opp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Thornburg Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thornburg Global Opp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Check out Thornburg Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Thornburg Global Correlation, Thornburg Global Hype Analysis, Thornburg Global Volatility, Thornburg Global History as well as Thornburg Global Performance. Note that the Thornburg Global Opp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Thornburg Global's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..