Smart Eye (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 80.30

SEYE Stock  SEK 80.30  2.60  3.35%   
Smart Eye's future price is the expected price of Smart Eye instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Smart Eye AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Smart Eye Backtesting, Smart Eye Valuation, Smart Eye Correlation, Smart Eye Hype Analysis, Smart Eye Volatility, Smart Eye History as well as Smart Eye Performance.
  
Please specify Smart Eye's target price for which you would like Smart Eye odds to be computed.

Smart Eye Target Price Odds to finish over 80.30

The tendency of Smart Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 80.30 90 days 80.30 
about 61.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Smart Eye to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 61.99 (This Smart Eye AB probability density function shows the probability of Smart Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Smart Eye has a beta of 0.23. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Smart Eye average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Smart Eye AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Smart Eye AB has an alpha of 0.0518, implying that it can generate a 0.0518 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Smart Eye Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Smart Eye

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smart Eye AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Smart Eye's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.7980.3083.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.4669.9788.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
80.7484.2587.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
72.8385.4698.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Smart Eye. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Smart Eye's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Smart Eye's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Smart Eye AB.

Smart Eye Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Smart Eye is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Smart Eye's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Smart Eye AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Smart Eye within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.23
σ
Overall volatility
7.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.0026

Smart Eye Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Smart Eye for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Smart Eye AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Smart Eye AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 109.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (132.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 97.25 M.
Smart Eye AB has accumulated about 65.6 M in cash with (102.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.99.
Roughly 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Smart Eye Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Smart Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Smart Eye's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smart Eye's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments278.4 M

Smart Eye Technical Analysis

Smart Eye's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Smart Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Smart Eye AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Smart Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Smart Eye Predictive Forecast Models

Smart Eye's time-series forecasting models is one of many Smart Eye's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Smart Eye's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Smart Eye AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Smart Eye for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Smart Eye AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Smart Eye AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 109.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (132.71 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 97.25 M.
Smart Eye AB has accumulated about 65.6 M in cash with (102.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.99.
Roughly 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Smart Eye Backtesting, Smart Eye Valuation, Smart Eye Correlation, Smart Eye Hype Analysis, Smart Eye Volatility, Smart Eye History as well as Smart Eye Performance.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for Smart Stock analysis

When running Smart Eye's price analysis, check to measure Smart Eye's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smart Eye is operating at the current time. Most of Smart Eye's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smart Eye's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smart Eye's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smart Eye to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Please note, there is a significant difference between Smart Eye's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smart Eye is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smart Eye's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.