JHSF Participaes (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.43
| JHSF3 Stock | BRL 4.43 0.10 2.31% |
JHSF |
JHSF Participaes Target Price Odds to finish over 4.43
The tendency of JHSF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.43 | 90 days | 4.43 | about 46.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JHSF Participaes to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 46.38 (This JHSF Participaes SA probability density function shows the probability of JHSF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.17 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, JHSF Participaes will likely underperform. Additionally JHSF Participaes SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. JHSF Participaes Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JHSF Participaes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JHSF Participaes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JHSF Participaes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JHSF Participaes Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JHSF Participaes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JHSF Participaes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JHSF Participaes SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JHSF Participaes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
JHSF Participaes Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JHSF Participaes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JHSF Participaes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JHSF Participaes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
JHSF Participaes Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JHSF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JHSF Participaes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JHSF Participaes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 681.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 877.5 M |
JHSF Participaes Technical Analysis
JHSF Participaes' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JHSF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JHSF Participaes SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing JHSF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JHSF Participaes Predictive Forecast Models
JHSF Participaes' time-series forecasting models is one of many JHSF Participaes' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JHSF Participaes' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JHSF Participaes
Checking the ongoing alerts about JHSF Participaes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JHSF Participaes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JHSF Participaes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out JHSF Participaes Backtesting, JHSF Participaes Valuation, JHSF Participaes Correlation, JHSF Participaes Hype Analysis, JHSF Participaes Volatility, JHSF Participaes History as well as JHSF Participaes Performance. Note that the JHSF Participaes information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other JHSF Participaes' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Complementary Tools for JHSF Stock analysis
When running JHSF Participaes' price analysis, check to measure JHSF Participaes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JHSF Participaes is operating at the current time. Most of JHSF Participaes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JHSF Participaes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JHSF Participaes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JHSF Participaes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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