Jasmine International (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.20

JAS Stock  THB 3.20  0.02  0.62%   
Jasmine International's future price is the expected price of Jasmine International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jasmine International Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jasmine International Backtesting, Jasmine International Valuation, Jasmine International Correlation, Jasmine International Hype Analysis, Jasmine International Volatility, Jasmine International History as well as Jasmine International Performance.
  
Please specify Jasmine International's target price for which you would like Jasmine International odds to be computed.

Jasmine International Target Price Odds to finish over 3.20

The tendency of Jasmine Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.20 90 days 3.20 
about 1.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jasmine International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.32 (This Jasmine International Public probability density function shows the probability of Jasmine Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jasmine International has a beta of 0.8. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jasmine International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jasmine International Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jasmine International Public has an alpha of 0.704, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jasmine International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jasmine International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jasmine International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jasmine International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.207.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.437.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.227.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.453.294.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jasmine International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jasmine International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jasmine International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jasmine International.

Jasmine International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jasmine International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jasmine International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jasmine International Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jasmine International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.70
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.80
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Jasmine International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jasmine International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jasmine International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jasmine International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has accumulated 4.85 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 39.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Jasmine International has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jasmine International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jasmine International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jasmine International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jasmine to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jasmine International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 19.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.5 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.28 B.
About 60.0% of Jasmine International shares are held by company insiders

Jasmine International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jasmine Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jasmine International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jasmine International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.6 B

Jasmine International Technical Analysis

Jasmine International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jasmine Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jasmine International Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jasmine Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jasmine International Predictive Forecast Models

Jasmine International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jasmine International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jasmine International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jasmine International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jasmine International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jasmine International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jasmine International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has accumulated 4.85 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 39.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Jasmine International has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Jasmine International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Jasmine International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Jasmine International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Jasmine to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Jasmine International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 19.3 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.5 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.28 B.
About 60.0% of Jasmine International shares are held by company insiders
Check out Jasmine International Backtesting, Jasmine International Valuation, Jasmine International Correlation, Jasmine International Hype Analysis, Jasmine International Volatility, Jasmine International History as well as Jasmine International Performance.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running Jasmine International's price analysis, check to measure Jasmine International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jasmine International is operating at the current time. Most of Jasmine International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jasmine International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jasmine International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jasmine International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Jasmine International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jasmine International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jasmine International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.