Future Park (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.60

FUTUREPF  THB 11.60  0.10  0.85%   
Future Park's future price is the expected price of Future Park instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Future Park Leasehold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Future Park Backtesting, Future Park Valuation, Future Park Correlation, Future Park Hype Analysis, Future Park Volatility, Future Park History as well as Future Park Performance.
  
Please specify Future Park's target price for which you would like Future Park odds to be computed.

Future Park Target Price Odds to finish over 11.60

The tendency of Future Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.60 90 days 11.60 
about 41.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Future Park to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 41.62 (This Future Park Leasehold probability density function shows the probability of Future Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Future Park has a beta of 0.0319. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Future Park average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Future Park Leasehold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Future Park Leasehold has an alpha of 0.0048, implying that it can generate a 0.004815 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Future Park Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Future Park

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Future Park Leasehold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Future Park's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8111.6012.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1810.9711.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.7811.5712.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5111.6211.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Future Park. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Future Park's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Future Park's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Future Park Leasehold.

Future Park Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Future Park is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Future Park's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Future Park Leasehold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Future Park within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Future Park Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Future Park for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Future Park Leasehold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Future Park has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 838.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (175.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 552.71 M.
About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Future Park Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Future Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Future Park's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Future Park's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0147
Dividends Paid349.5 M
Shares Float282 M

Future Park Technical Analysis

Future Park's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Future Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Future Park Leasehold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Future Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Future Park Predictive Forecast Models

Future Park's time-series forecasting models is one of many Future Park's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Future Park's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Future Park Leasehold

Checking the ongoing alerts about Future Park for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Future Park Leasehold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Future Park has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 838.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (175.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 552.71 M.
About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Future Park Backtesting, Future Park Valuation, Future Park Correlation, Future Park Hype Analysis, Future Park Volatility, Future Park History as well as Future Park Performance.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Complementary Tools for Future Stock analysis

When running Future Park's price analysis, check to measure Future Park's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Future Park is operating at the current time. Most of Future Park's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Future Park's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Future Park's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Future Park to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Future Park's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Future Park is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Future Park's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.