Realord Group (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.64

CUV Stock  EUR 0.64  0.01  1.59%   
Realord Group's future price is the expected price of Realord Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Realord Group Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Realord Group Backtesting, Realord Group Valuation, Realord Group Correlation, Realord Group Hype Analysis, Realord Group Volatility, Realord Group History as well as Realord Group Performance.
  
Please specify Realord Group's target price for which you would like Realord Group odds to be computed.

Realord Group Target Price Odds to finish over 0.64

The tendency of Realord Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.64 90 days 0.64 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Realord Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Realord Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Realord Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Realord Group Holdings has a beta of -0.13 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Realord Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Realord Group Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Realord Group Holdings has an alpha of 0.0517, implying that it can generate a 0.0517 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Realord Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Realord Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Realord Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Realord Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.641.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.531.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.641.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.610.620.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Realord Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Realord Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Realord Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Realord Group Holdings.

Realord Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Realord Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Realord Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Realord Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Realord Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Realord Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Realord Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Realord Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Realord Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Realord Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Realord Group Holdings has accumulated about 350.98 M in cash with (198.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24.
Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Realord Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Realord Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Realord Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Realord Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B

Realord Group Technical Analysis

Realord Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Realord Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Realord Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Realord Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Realord Group Predictive Forecast Models

Realord Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Realord Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Realord Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Realord Group Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Realord Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Realord Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Realord Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Realord Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Realord Group Holdings has accumulated about 350.98 M in cash with (198.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24.
Roughly 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Realord Group Backtesting, Realord Group Valuation, Realord Group Correlation, Realord Group Hype Analysis, Realord Group Volatility, Realord Group History as well as Realord Group Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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When running Realord Group's price analysis, check to measure Realord Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Realord Group is operating at the current time. Most of Realord Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Realord Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Realord Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Realord Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Realord Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Realord Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Realord Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.