Catur Sentosa (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 500.00
| CSAP Stock | IDR 500.00 10.00 1.96% |
Catur |
Catur Sentosa Target Price Odds to finish over 500.00
The tendency of Catur Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 500.00 | 90 days | 500.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Catur Sentosa to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Catur Sentosa Adiprana probability density function shows the probability of Catur Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Catur Sentosa has a beta of 0.34 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Catur Sentosa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Catur Sentosa Adiprana will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Catur Sentosa Adiprana has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Catur Sentosa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Catur Sentosa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Catur Sentosa Adiprana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Catur Sentosa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Catur Sentosa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Catur Sentosa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Catur Sentosa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Catur Sentosa Adiprana, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Catur Sentosa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 23.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Catur Sentosa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Catur Sentosa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Catur Sentosa Adiprana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Catur Sentosa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Catur Sentosa has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Catur Sentosa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Catur Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Catur Sentosa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Catur Sentosa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.9 B |
Catur Sentosa Technical Analysis
Catur Sentosa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Catur Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Catur Sentosa Adiprana. In general, you should focus on analyzing Catur Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Catur Sentosa Predictive Forecast Models
Catur Sentosa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Catur Sentosa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Catur Sentosa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Catur Sentosa Adiprana
Checking the ongoing alerts about Catur Sentosa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Catur Sentosa Adiprana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Catur Sentosa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Catur Sentosa has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Catur Sentosa Backtesting, Catur Sentosa Valuation, Catur Sentosa Correlation, Catur Sentosa Hype Analysis, Catur Sentosa Volatility, Catur Sentosa History as well as Catur Sentosa Performance. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Complementary Tools for Catur Stock analysis
When running Catur Sentosa's price analysis, check to measure Catur Sentosa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Catur Sentosa is operating at the current time. Most of Catur Sentosa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Catur Sentosa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Catur Sentosa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Catur Sentosa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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