Brookdale Senior Living Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.96
| BKD Stock | USD 6.96 0.10 1.46% |
Closest to current price Brookdale long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Brookdale |
Brookdale Senior Target Price Odds to finish over 6.96
The tendency of Brookdale Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.96 | 90 days | 6.96 | nearly 4.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brookdale Senior to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.51 (This Brookdale Senior Living probability density function shows the probability of Brookdale Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Brookdale Senior has a beta of 0.33 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Brookdale Senior average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brookdale Senior Living will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brookdale Senior Living has an alpha of 0.308, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Brookdale Senior Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Brookdale Senior
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brookdale Senior Living. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brookdale Senior's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brookdale Senior Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brookdale Senior is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brookdale Senior's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brookdale Senior Living, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brookdale Senior within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Brookdale Senior Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brookdale Senior for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brookdale Senior Living can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brookdale Senior had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 4.73 B in debt. Brookdale Senior Living has a current ratio of 0.86, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Brookdale Senior until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Brookdale Senior's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Brookdale Senior Living sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Brookdale to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Brookdale Senior's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 3.01 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (189.07 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 685 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Estimating The Fair Value Of Brookdale Senior Living Inc. |
Brookdale Senior Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brookdale Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brookdale Senior's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brookdale Senior's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 225.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 307.7 M |
Brookdale Senior Technical Analysis
Brookdale Senior's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brookdale Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brookdale Senior Living. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brookdale Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brookdale Senior Predictive Forecast Models
Brookdale Senior's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brookdale Senior's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brookdale Senior's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brookdale Senior Living
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brookdale Senior for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brookdale Senior Living help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brookdale Senior had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 4.73 B in debt. Brookdale Senior Living has a current ratio of 0.86, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Brookdale Senior until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Brookdale Senior's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Brookdale Senior Living sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Brookdale to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Brookdale Senior's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 3.01 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (189.07 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 685 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Estimating The Fair Value Of Brookdale Senior Living Inc. |
Check out Brookdale Senior Backtesting, Brookdale Senior Valuation, Brookdale Senior Correlation, Brookdale Senior Hype Analysis, Brookdale Senior Volatility, Brookdale Senior History as well as Brookdale Senior Performance. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
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When running Brookdale Senior's price analysis, check to measure Brookdale Senior's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brookdale Senior is operating at the current time. Most of Brookdale Senior's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brookdale Senior's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brookdale Senior's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brookdale Senior to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Brookdale Senior's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brookdale Senior. If investors know Brookdale will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brookdale Senior listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.84) | Revenue Per Share 12.732 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.089 | Return On Assets 0.0029 | Return On Equity (0.38) |
The market value of Brookdale Senior Living is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brookdale that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brookdale Senior's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brookdale Senior's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brookdale Senior's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brookdale Senior's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brookdale Senior's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brookdale Senior is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brookdale Senior's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.