Arkha Jayanti (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.00
| ARKA Stock | IDR 15.00 1.00 7.14% |
Arkha |
Arkha Jayanti Target Price Odds to finish over 15.00
The tendency of Arkha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.00 | 90 days | 15.00 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arkha Jayanti to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Arkha Jayanti Persada probability density function shows the probability of Arkha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.19 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Arkha Jayanti will likely underperform. Additionally Arkha Jayanti Persada has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Arkha Jayanti Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arkha Jayanti
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arkha Jayanti Persada. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arkha Jayanti's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Arkha Jayanti Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arkha Jayanti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arkha Jayanti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arkha Jayanti Persada, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arkha Jayanti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.83 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.47 |
Arkha Jayanti Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arkha Jayanti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arkha Jayanti Persada can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arkha Jayanti generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arkha Jayanti has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Arkha Jayanti Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arkha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arkha Jayanti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arkha Jayanti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 706 M |
Arkha Jayanti Technical Analysis
Arkha Jayanti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arkha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arkha Jayanti Persada. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arkha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arkha Jayanti Predictive Forecast Models
Arkha Jayanti's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arkha Jayanti's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arkha Jayanti's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arkha Jayanti Persada
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arkha Jayanti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arkha Jayanti Persada help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arkha Jayanti generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arkha Jayanti has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Arkha Jayanti Backtesting, Arkha Jayanti Valuation, Arkha Jayanti Correlation, Arkha Jayanti Hype Analysis, Arkha Jayanti Volatility, Arkha Jayanti History as well as Arkha Jayanti Performance. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Complementary Tools for Arkha Stock analysis
When running Arkha Jayanti's price analysis, check to measure Arkha Jayanti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arkha Jayanti is operating at the current time. Most of Arkha Jayanti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arkha Jayanti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arkha Jayanti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arkha Jayanti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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