Addnode Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 114.60

ANOD-B Stock  SEK 114.60  0.20  0.17%   
Addnode Group's future price is the expected price of Addnode Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Addnode Group AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Addnode Group Backtesting, Addnode Group Valuation, Addnode Group Correlation, Addnode Group Hype Analysis, Addnode Group Volatility, Addnode Group History as well as Addnode Group Performance.
  
Please specify Addnode Group's target price for which you would like Addnode Group odds to be computed.

Addnode Group Target Price Odds to finish over 114.60

The tendency of Addnode Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 114.60 90 days 114.60 
about 21.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Addnode Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.12 (This Addnode Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Addnode Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Addnode Group AB has a beta of -0.47. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Addnode Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Addnode Group AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Addnode Group AB has an alpha of 0.3553, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Addnode Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Addnode Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Addnode Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Addnode Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
112.37114.60116.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
104.48106.71126.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
111.64113.87116.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
106.28114.22122.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Addnode Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Addnode Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Addnode Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Addnode Group AB.

Addnode Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Addnode Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Addnode Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Addnode Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Addnode Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.36
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.47
σ
Overall volatility
6.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Addnode Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Addnode Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Addnode Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has kr718 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
The company has accumulated 718 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 63.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Addnode Group AB has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Addnode Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Addnode Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Addnode Group AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Addnode to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Addnode Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 72.0% of Addnode Group shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Addnode Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Addnode Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Addnode Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Addnode Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments406 M

Addnode Group Technical Analysis

Addnode Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Addnode Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Addnode Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Addnode Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Addnode Group Predictive Forecast Models

Addnode Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Addnode Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Addnode Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Addnode Group AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Addnode Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Addnode Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has kr718 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
The company has accumulated 718 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 63.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Addnode Group AB has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Addnode Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Addnode Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Addnode Group AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Addnode to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Addnode Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 72.0% of Addnode Group shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Check out Addnode Group Backtesting, Addnode Group Valuation, Addnode Group Correlation, Addnode Group Hype Analysis, Addnode Group Volatility, Addnode Group History as well as Addnode Group Performance.
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When running Addnode Group's price analysis, check to measure Addnode Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Addnode Group is operating at the current time. Most of Addnode Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Addnode Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Addnode Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Addnode Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Addnode Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Addnode Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Addnode Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.