Aker Solutions (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 42.60

AKSO Stock  NOK 42.60  3.34  8.51%   
Aker Solutions' future price is the expected price of Aker Solutions instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aker Solutions ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aker Solutions Backtesting, Aker Solutions Valuation, Aker Solutions Correlation, Aker Solutions Hype Analysis, Aker Solutions Volatility, Aker Solutions History as well as Aker Solutions Performance.
  
Please specify Aker Solutions' target price for which you would like Aker Solutions odds to be computed.

Aker Solutions Target Price Odds to finish over 42.60

The tendency of Aker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 42.60 90 days 42.60 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aker Solutions to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aker Solutions ASA probability density function shows the probability of Aker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aker Solutions ASA has a beta of -1.0. This suggests Additionally Aker Solutions ASA has an alpha of 0.2628, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aker Solutions Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aker Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aker Solutions ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aker Solutions' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.9742.6045.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.1633.7946.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.7942.4245.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.9639.3243.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aker Solutions. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aker Solutions' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aker Solutions' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aker Solutions ASA.

Aker Solutions Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aker Solutions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aker Solutions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aker Solutions ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aker Solutions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.26
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-1
σ
Overall volatility
1.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Aker Solutions Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aker Solutions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aker Solutions ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aker Solutions ASA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Aker Solutions Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aker Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aker Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding488.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.6 B

Aker Solutions Technical Analysis

Aker Solutions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aker Solutions ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aker Solutions Predictive Forecast Models

Aker Solutions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aker Solutions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aker Solutions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aker Solutions ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aker Solutions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aker Solutions ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aker Solutions ASA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Complementary Tools for Aker Stock analysis

When running Aker Solutions' price analysis, check to measure Aker Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aker Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Aker Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aker Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aker Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aker Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Aker Solutions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aker Solutions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aker Solutions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.