Groupe Gorg (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.12

2G3 Stock  EUR 19.12  0.18  0.95%   
Groupe Gorg's future price is the expected price of Groupe Gorg instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Groupe Gorg SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Groupe Gorg Backtesting, Groupe Gorg Valuation, Groupe Gorg Correlation, Groupe Gorg Hype Analysis, Groupe Gorg Volatility, Groupe Gorg History as well as Groupe Gorg Performance.
  
Please specify Groupe Gorg's target price for which you would like Groupe Gorg odds to be computed.

Groupe Gorg Target Price Odds to finish over 19.12

The tendency of Groupe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.12 90 days 19.12 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Groupe Gorg to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Groupe Gorg SA probability density function shows the probability of Groupe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Groupe Gorg SA has a beta of -0.43. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Groupe Gorg are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Groupe Gorg SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Groupe Gorg SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Groupe Gorg Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Groupe Gorg

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Groupe Gorg SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Groupe Gorg's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.6419.1222.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.3816.8620.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Groupe Gorg. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Groupe Gorg's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Groupe Gorg's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Groupe Gorg SA.

Groupe Gorg Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Groupe Gorg is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Groupe Gorg's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Groupe Gorg SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Groupe Gorg within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.43
σ
Overall volatility
1.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Groupe Gorg Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Groupe Gorg for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Groupe Gorg SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Groupe Gorg SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Groupe Gorg SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Groupe Gorg SA has accumulated about 42.91 M in cash with (9.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.51.
Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Groupe Gorg Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Groupe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Groupe Gorg's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Groupe Gorg's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.1 M

Groupe Gorg Technical Analysis

Groupe Gorg's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Groupe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Groupe Gorg SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Groupe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Groupe Gorg Predictive Forecast Models

Groupe Gorg's time-series forecasting models is one of many Groupe Gorg's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Groupe Gorg's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Groupe Gorg SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Groupe Gorg for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Groupe Gorg SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Groupe Gorg SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Groupe Gorg SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Groupe Gorg SA has accumulated about 42.91 M in cash with (9.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.51.
Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Check out Groupe Gorg Backtesting, Groupe Gorg Valuation, Groupe Gorg Correlation, Groupe Gorg Hype Analysis, Groupe Gorg Volatility, Groupe Gorg History as well as Groupe Gorg Performance.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Groupe Stock analysis

When running Groupe Gorg's price analysis, check to measure Groupe Gorg's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groupe Gorg is operating at the current time. Most of Groupe Gorg's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groupe Gorg's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groupe Gorg's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groupe Gorg to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupe Gorg's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupe Gorg is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Groupe Gorg's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.