SOHO China Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
SOHOF Stock | USD 0.09 0.00 0.00% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SOHO China Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03. SOHO Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast SOHO China stock prices and determine the direction of SOHO China Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SOHO China's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SOHO China to cross-verify your projections. SOHO |
Most investors in SOHO China cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the SOHO China's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets SOHO China's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for SOHO China - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When SOHO China prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in SOHO China price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of SOHO China Limited. SOHO China Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SOHO China Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0005, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000508, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SOHO Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SOHO China's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SOHO China Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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SOHO China Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SOHO China's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SOHO China's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0009 and 2.75, respectively. We have considered SOHO China's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SOHO China pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SOHO China pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -2.0E-4 |
MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.0E-4 |
MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0059 |
SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.03 |
Predictive Modules for SOHO China
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SOHO China Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SOHO China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for SOHO China
For every potential investor in SOHO, whether a beginner or expert, SOHO China's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SOHO Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SOHO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SOHO China's price trends.View SOHO China Related Equities
Risk & Return | Correlation |
SOHO China Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SOHO China's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SOHO China's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
SOHO China Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SOHO China pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SOHO China shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SOHO China pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify SOHO China Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SOHO China Risk Indicators
The analysis of SOHO China's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SOHO China's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting soho pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 0.792 | |||
Standard Deviation | 2.66 | |||
Variance | 7.1 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards SOHO China in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, SOHO China's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from SOHO China options trading.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SOHO China to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
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When running SOHO China's price analysis, check to measure SOHO China's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SOHO China is operating at the current time. Most of SOHO China's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SOHO China's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SOHO China's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SOHO China to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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