Positivo Tecnologia Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| POSI3 Stock | BRL 9.44 0.43 4.77% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Positivo Tecnologia SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.05. Positivo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Positivo Tecnologia stock prices and determine the direction of Positivo Tecnologia SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Positivo Tecnologia's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Positivo Tecnologia to cross-verify your projections. Positivo |
Most investors in Positivo Tecnologia cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Positivo Tecnologia's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Positivo Tecnologia's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Positivo Tecnologia polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Positivo Tecnologia SA as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Positivo Tecnologia Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Positivo Tecnologia SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Positivo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Positivo Tecnologia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Positivo Tecnologia Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Positivo Tecnologia | Positivo Tecnologia Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Positivo Tecnologia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Positivo Tecnologia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Positivo Tecnologia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.03 and 11.86, respectively. We have considered Positivo Tecnologia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Positivo Tecnologia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Positivo Tecnologia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4417 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3287 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0366 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.0526 |
Predictive Modules for Positivo Tecnologia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Positivo Tecnologia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Positivo Tecnologia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Positivo Tecnologia
For every potential investor in Positivo, whether a beginner or expert, Positivo Tecnologia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Positivo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Positivo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Positivo Tecnologia's price trends.Positivo Tecnologia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Positivo Tecnologia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Positivo Tecnologia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Positivo Tecnologia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Positivo Tecnologia Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Positivo Tecnologia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Positivo Tecnologia's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Positivo Tecnologia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Positivo Tecnologia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Positivo Tecnologia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Positivo Tecnologia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Positivo Tecnologia SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Positivo Tecnologia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Positivo Tecnologia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Positivo Tecnologia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting positivo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Variance | 8.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.98 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis
Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Positivo Tecnologia using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.Build Optimal Portfolios
Align your risk with return expectations
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Positivo Tecnologia to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Positivo Tecnologia information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Positivo Tecnologia's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Positivo Stock analysis
When running Positivo Tecnologia's price analysis, check to measure Positivo Tecnologia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Positivo Tecnologia is operating at the current time. Most of Positivo Tecnologia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Positivo Tecnologia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Positivo Tecnologia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Positivo Tecnologia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk |