Telekom Malaysia Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

MYTEF Stock  USD 1.06  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Telekom Malaysia Berhad on the next trading day is expected to be 1.03 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.01  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.81. Telekom Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Telekom Malaysia stock prices and determine the direction of Telekom Malaysia Berhad's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Telekom Malaysia's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Telekom Malaysia to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Telekom Malaysia cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Telekom Malaysia's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Telekom Malaysia's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Telekom Malaysia polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Telekom Malaysia Berhad as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Telekom Malaysia Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Telekom Malaysia Berhad on the next trading day is expected to be 1.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Telekom Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Telekom Malaysia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Telekom Malaysia Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Telekom MalaysiaTelekom Malaysia Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Telekom Malaysia Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Telekom Malaysia's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Telekom Malaysia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 2.55, respectively. We have considered Telekom Malaysia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.06
1.03
Expected Value
2.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Telekom Malaysia pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Telekom Malaysia pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.0575
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0134
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0136
SAESum of the absolute errors0.8145
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Telekom Malaysia historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Telekom Malaysia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telekom Malaysia Berhad. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Telekom Malaysia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.062.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.002.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Telekom Malaysia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Telekom Malaysia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Telekom Malaysia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Telekom Malaysia Berhad.

Other Forecasting Options for Telekom Malaysia

For every potential investor in Telekom, whether a beginner or expert, Telekom Malaysia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Telekom Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Telekom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Telekom Malaysia's price trends.

Telekom Malaysia Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Telekom Malaysia pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Telekom Malaysia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Telekom Malaysia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Telekom Malaysia Berhad Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Telekom Malaysia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Telekom Malaysia's current price.

Telekom Malaysia Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Telekom Malaysia pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Telekom Malaysia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Telekom Malaysia pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Telekom Malaysia Berhad entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Telekom Malaysia Risk Indicators

The analysis of Telekom Malaysia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Telekom Malaysia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting telekom pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Telekom Malaysia in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Telekom Malaysia's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Telekom Malaysia options trading.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Telekom Malaysia to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Telekom Malaysia Berhad information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Telekom Malaysia's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

Complementary Tools for Telekom Pink Sheet analysis

When running Telekom Malaysia's price analysis, check to measure Telekom Malaysia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telekom Malaysia is operating at the current time. Most of Telekom Malaysia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telekom Malaysia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telekom Malaysia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telekom Malaysia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Telekom Malaysia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Telekom Malaysia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Telekom Malaysia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.