MVB Financial Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| MVBF Stock | USD 17.97 1.34 6.94% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MVB Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.25. MVB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast MVB Financial stock prices and determine the direction of MVB Financial Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MVB Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although MVB Financial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of MVB Financial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of MVB Financial fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MVB Financial to cross-verify your projections. MVB |
Most investors in MVB Financial cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the MVB Financial's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets MVB Financial's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for MVB Financial - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When MVB Financial prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in MVB Financial price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of MVB Financial Corp. MVB Financial Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MVB Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MVB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MVB Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MVB Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
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MVB Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MVB Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MVB Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.60 and 20.06, respectively. We have considered MVB Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MVB Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MVB Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0909 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3771 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0181 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.2496 |
Predictive Modules for MVB Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MVB Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MVB Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for MVB Financial
For every potential investor in MVB, whether a beginner or expert, MVB Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MVB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MVB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MVB Financial's price trends.MVB Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MVB Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MVB Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MVB Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MVB Financial Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MVB Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MVB Financial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MVB Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MVB Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MVB Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MVB Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MVB Financial Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MVB Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of MVB Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MVB Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mvb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.3 | |||
| Variance | 5.28 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MVB Financial to cross-verify your projections. Note that the MVB Financial Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other MVB Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Complementary Tools for MVB Stock analysis
When running MVB Financial's price analysis, check to measure MVB Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MVB Financial is operating at the current time. Most of MVB Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MVB Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MVB Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MVB Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is MVB Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MVB Financial. If investors know MVB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MVB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Dividend Share 0.51 | Earnings Share 1.86 | Revenue Per Share 11.735 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.152 |
The market value of MVB Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MVB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MVB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MVB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MVB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MVB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MVB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MVB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MVB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.