Multi Indocitra Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
MICE Stock | IDR 520.00 5.00 0.95% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Multi Indocitra Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 524.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 334.99. Multi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Multi Indocitra stock prices and determine the direction of Multi Indocitra Tbk's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Multi Indocitra's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Multi Indocitra to cross-verify your projections. Multi |
Most investors in Multi Indocitra cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Multi Indocitra's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Multi Indocitra's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Multi Indocitra polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Multi Indocitra Tbk as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Multi Indocitra Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Multi Indocitra Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 524.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.49, mean absolute percentage error of 54.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 334.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Multi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Multi Indocitra's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Multi Indocitra Stock Forecast Pattern
Backtest Multi Indocitra | Multi Indocitra Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Multi Indocitra Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Multi Indocitra's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Multi Indocitra's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 522.53 and 526.06, respectively. We have considered Multi Indocitra's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Multi Indocitra stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Multi Indocitra stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.1105 |
Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.4917 |
MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0109 |
SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 334.9919 |
Predictive Modules for Multi Indocitra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multi Indocitra Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Multi Indocitra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Multi Indocitra
For every potential investor in Multi, whether a beginner or expert, Multi Indocitra's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Multi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Multi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Multi Indocitra's price trends.Multi Indocitra Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Multi Indocitra stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Multi Indocitra could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Multi Indocitra by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Risk & Return | Correlation |
Multi Indocitra Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Multi Indocitra's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Multi Indocitra's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
Multi Indocitra Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Multi Indocitra stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Multi Indocitra shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Multi Indocitra stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Multi Indocitra Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Multi Indocitra Risk Indicators
The analysis of Multi Indocitra's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Multi Indocitra's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting multi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
Standard Deviation | 1.76 | |||
Variance | 3.11 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Multi Indocitra in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Multi Indocitra's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Multi Indocitra options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Multi Indocitra to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Complementary Tools for Multi Stock analysis
When running Multi Indocitra's price analysis, check to measure Multi Indocitra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Multi Indocitra is operating at the current time. Most of Multi Indocitra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Multi Indocitra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Multi Indocitra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Multi Indocitra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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