Nable Communications Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

153460 Stock  KRW 6,720  30.00  0.44%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nable Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 6,587 with a mean absolute deviation of  95.64  and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,834. Nable Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nable Communications stock prices and determine the direction of Nable Communications's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nable Communications' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nable Communications to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Nable Communications cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Nable Communications' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Nable Communications' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Nable Communications polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Nable Communications as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Nable Communications Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nable Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 6,587 with a mean absolute deviation of 95.64, mean absolute percentage error of 17,479, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,834.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nable Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nable Communications' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nable Communications Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nable Communications Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nable Communications' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nable Communications' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6,586 and 6,589, respectively. We have considered Nable Communications' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6,720
6,587
Expected Value
6,589
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nable Communications stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nable Communications stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria127.8792
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation95.6407
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.014
SAESum of the absolute errors5834.0837
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Nable Communications historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Nable Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nable Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nable Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,7196,7206,721
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6,4216,4227,392
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
6,6656,9487,231
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nable Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nable Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nable Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nable Communications.

Other Forecasting Options for Nable Communications

For every potential investor in Nable, whether a beginner or expert, Nable Communications' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nable Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nable. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nable Communications' price trends.

Nable Communications Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nable Communications stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nable Communications could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nable Communications by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nable Communications Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nable Communications' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nable Communications' current price.

Nable Communications Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nable Communications stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nable Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nable Communications stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nable Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nable Communications Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nable Communications' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nable Communications' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nable stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Nable Communications in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Nable Communications' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Nable Communications options trading.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nable Communications to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Nable Communications information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nable Communications' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

Complementary Tools for Nable Stock analysis

When running Nable Communications' price analysis, check to measure Nable Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nable Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Nable Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nable Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nable Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nable Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Nable Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nable Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nable Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.