Paranapanema (Brazil) Market Value
| PMAM3 Stock | BRL 2.73 0.04 1.49% |
| Symbol | Paranapanema |
Paranapanema 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Paranapanema's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Paranapanema.
| 04/04/2024 |
| 05/04/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Paranapanema on April 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Paranapanema SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Paranapanema over 30 days. Paranapanema is related to or competes with Toyota, Sony, Honda, Taiwan Semiconductor, Apple, Alibaba Group, and Ita Unibanco. Paranapanema S.A. produces and sells electrolytic refined copper, its by-products, and related services in Brazil and in... More
Paranapanema Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Paranapanema's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Paranapanema SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.26) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.95) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.26 |
Paranapanema Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Paranapanema's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Paranapanema's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Paranapanema historical prices to predict the future Paranapanema's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.15) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.70) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.87) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.98) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Paranapanema's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Paranapanema SA Backtested Returns
Paranapanema SA maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.18, which implies the firm had a -0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Paranapanema SA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Paranapanema's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.15), coefficient of variation of (412.60), and Variance of 7.65 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.34, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Paranapanema's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Paranapanema is expected to be smaller as well. Paranapanema SA has an expected return of -0.51%. Please make sure to check Paranapanema SA skewness, accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis , to decide if Paranapanema SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.19 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Paranapanema SA has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Paranapanema time series from 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024 and 19th of April 2024 to 4th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Paranapanema SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Paranapanema price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.19 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.38 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Paranapanema SA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Paranapanema stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Paranapanema's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Paranapanema returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Paranapanema has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Paranapanema regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Paranapanema stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Paranapanema stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Paranapanema stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Paranapanema Lagged Returns
When evaluating Paranapanema's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Paranapanema stock have on its future price. Paranapanema autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Paranapanema autocorrelation shows the relationship between Paranapanema stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Paranapanema SA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Check out Paranapanema Correlation, Paranapanema Volatility and Paranapanema Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Paranapanema. Note that the Paranapanema SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Paranapanema's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Paranapanema Stock analysis
When running Paranapanema's price analysis, check to measure Paranapanema's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paranapanema is operating at the current time. Most of Paranapanema's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paranapanema's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paranapanema's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paranapanema to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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