Japan Exchange Group Stock Market Value

OSCUF Stock  USD 23.20  1.18  4.84%   
Japan Exchange's market value is the price at which a share of Japan Exchange trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Japan Exchange Group investors about its performance. Japan Exchange is trading at 23.20 as of the 3rd of May 2024. This is a -4.84 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 23.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Japan Exchange Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Japan Exchange over a given investment horizon. Check out Japan Exchange Correlation, Japan Exchange Volatility and Japan Exchange Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Japan Exchange.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Japan Exchange's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Japan Exchange is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Japan Exchange's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Japan Exchange 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Japan Exchange's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Japan Exchange.
0.00
04/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
05/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Japan Exchange on April 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Japan Exchange Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Japan Exchange over 30 days. Japan Exchange is related to or competes with TMX Group, Otc Markets, Morningstar, CME, and Moodys. Japan Exchange Group, Inc. provides and operates markets for exchange-traded financial instruments in Japan More

Japan Exchange Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Japan Exchange's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Japan Exchange Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Japan Exchange Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Japan Exchange's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Japan Exchange's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Japan Exchange historical prices to predict the future Japan Exchange's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Japan Exchange's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.1523.2025.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.2920.3425.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.5922.6424.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.2423.7325.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Japan Exchange. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Japan Exchange's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Japan Exchange's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Japan Exchange Group.

Japan Exchange Group Backtested Returns

We consider Japan Exchange not too volatile. Japan Exchange Group holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0355, which attests that the entity had a 0.0355% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Japan Exchange Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Japan Exchange's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.46), risk adjusted performance of 0.0289, and Downside Deviation of 3.14 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.073%. Japan Exchange has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Japan Exchange are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Japan Exchange is likely to outperform the market. Japan Exchange Group right now retains a risk of 2.05%. Please check out Japan Exchange semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if Japan Exchange will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

Japan Exchange Group has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Japan Exchange time series from 3rd of April 2024 to 18th of April 2024 and 18th of April 2024 to 3rd of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Japan Exchange Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Japan Exchange price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.7

Japan Exchange Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Japan Exchange pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Japan Exchange's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Japan Exchange returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Japan Exchange has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Japan Exchange regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Japan Exchange pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Japan Exchange pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Japan Exchange pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Japan Exchange Lagged Returns

When evaluating Japan Exchange's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Japan Exchange pink sheet have on its future price. Japan Exchange autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Japan Exchange autocorrelation shows the relationship between Japan Exchange pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Japan Exchange Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Japan Exchange Correlation, Japan Exchange Volatility and Japan Exchange Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Japan Exchange.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

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When running Japan Exchange's price analysis, check to measure Japan Exchange's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Japan Exchange is operating at the current time. Most of Japan Exchange's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Japan Exchange's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Japan Exchange's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Japan Exchange to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Japan Exchange technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Japan Exchange technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Japan Exchange trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...