Orion Oyj (Finland) Market Value

ORNAV Stock  EUR 36.05  0.60  1.69%   
Orion Oyj's market value is the price at which a share of Orion Oyj trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Orion Oyj A investors about its performance. Orion Oyj is trading at 36.05 as of the 29th of April 2024. This is a 1.69 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 35.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Orion Oyj A and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Orion Oyj over a given investment horizon. Check out Orion Oyj Correlation, Orion Oyj Volatility and Orion Oyj Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Orion Oyj.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Orion Oyj's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orion Oyj is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orion Oyj's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Orion Oyj 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Orion Oyj's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Orion Oyj.
0.00
02/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
04/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Orion Oyj on February 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Orion Oyj A or generate 0.0% return on investment in Orion Oyj over 60 days. Orion Oyj is related to or competes with Orion Oyj, Elisa Oyj, Kesko Oyj, Valmet Oyj, and Wartsila Oyj. Orion Oyj engages in the development and manufacture of pharmaceuticals, active pharmaceutical ingredients , and diagnos... More

Orion Oyj Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Orion Oyj's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Orion Oyj A upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Orion Oyj Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Orion Oyj's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Orion Oyj's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Orion Oyj historical prices to predict the future Orion Oyj's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orion Oyj's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.6436.0537.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.2036.6138.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Orion Oyj. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Orion Oyj's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Orion Oyj's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Orion Oyj A.

Orion Oyj A Backtested Returns

Orion Oyj A maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.16, which implies the firm had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Orion Oyj A exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Orion Oyj's Coefficient Of Variation of (615.99), variance of 1.98, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.1) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.55, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Orion Oyj's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Orion Oyj is expected to be smaller as well. Orion Oyj A has an expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to check Orion Oyj A value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Orion Oyj A performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.38  

Poor reverse predictability

Orion Oyj A has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Orion Oyj time series from 29th of February 2024 to 30th of March 2024 and 30th of March 2024 to 29th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Orion Oyj A price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Orion Oyj price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.38
Spearman Rank Test-0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.91

Orion Oyj A lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Orion Oyj stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Orion Oyj's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Orion Oyj returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Orion Oyj has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Orion Oyj regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Orion Oyj stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Orion Oyj stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Orion Oyj stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Orion Oyj Lagged Returns

When evaluating Orion Oyj's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Orion Oyj stock have on its future price. Orion Oyj autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Orion Oyj autocorrelation shows the relationship between Orion Oyj stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Orion Oyj A.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Orion Oyj Correlation, Orion Oyj Volatility and Orion Oyj Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Orion Oyj.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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Orion Oyj technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Orion Oyj technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Orion Oyj trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...