Lyxor UCITS (France) Market Value

JPNH Etf  EUR 214.65  4.35  2.07%   
Lyxor UCITS's market value is the price at which a share of Lyxor UCITS trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lyxor UCITS Japan investors about its performance. Lyxor UCITS is trading at 214.65 as of the 29th of April 2024, a 2.07 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 210.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lyxor UCITS Japan and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lyxor UCITS over a given investment horizon. Check out Lyxor UCITS Correlation, Lyxor UCITS Volatility and Lyxor UCITS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lyxor UCITS.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Lyxor UCITS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lyxor UCITS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lyxor UCITS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lyxor UCITS 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lyxor UCITS's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lyxor UCITS.
0.00
03/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lyxor UCITS on March 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lyxor UCITS Japan or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lyxor UCITS over 30 days. Lyxor UCITS is related to or competes with Lyxor UCITS, Amundi Index, Amundi Index, Amundi Index, and Multi Units. The Lyxor Japan UCITS ETF is a UCITS compliant exchange traded fund that aims to track the benchmark index Topix Total R... More

Lyxor UCITS Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lyxor UCITS's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lyxor UCITS Japan upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lyxor UCITS Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lyxor UCITS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lyxor UCITS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lyxor UCITS historical prices to predict the future Lyxor UCITS's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lyxor UCITS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
213.75214.65215.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
195.50196.40236.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
212.58213.48214.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
206.86214.11221.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lyxor UCITS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lyxor UCITS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lyxor UCITS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lyxor UCITS Japan.

Lyxor UCITS Japan Backtested Returns

We consider Lyxor UCITS very steady. Lyxor UCITS Japan has Sharpe Ratio of 0.16, which conveys that the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Lyxor UCITS, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please verify Lyxor UCITS's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0951, mean deviation of 0.6722, and Downside Deviation of 0.9472 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The etf secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.15, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Lyxor UCITS's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lyxor UCITS is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.42  

Modest reverse predictability

Lyxor UCITS Japan has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lyxor UCITS time series from 30th of March 2024 to 14th of April 2024 and 14th of April 2024 to 29th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lyxor UCITS Japan price movement. The serial correlation of -0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current Lyxor UCITS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.42
Spearman Rank Test-0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.03

Lyxor UCITS Japan lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lyxor UCITS etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lyxor UCITS's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lyxor UCITS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lyxor UCITS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Lyxor UCITS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lyxor UCITS etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lyxor UCITS etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lyxor UCITS etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lyxor UCITS Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lyxor UCITS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lyxor UCITS etf have on its future price. Lyxor UCITS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lyxor UCITS autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lyxor UCITS etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lyxor UCITS Japan.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Lyxor UCITS in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Lyxor UCITS's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Lyxor UCITS options trading.

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Check out Lyxor UCITS Correlation, Lyxor UCITS Volatility and Lyxor UCITS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lyxor UCITS.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Lyxor UCITS technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Lyxor UCITS technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Lyxor UCITS trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...