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ATT Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#8A0CCF;color: white;font-size:3em;padding-top: 40px;;'>ATT</div>
T -- USA Stock  

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Investors can use this prediction interface to forecast ATT historic stock prices and determine the direction of ATT future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, looking at historical price movement exclusively is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of ATT historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of ATT systematic risks associated with finding meaningful patterns of ATT fundamentals over time. Additionally, take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of ATT to cross-verify your projections.
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ATT simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for ATT are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as ATT prices get older.
Given 30 days horizon, the value of ATT on the next trading day is expected to be 38.321325

ATT Stock Forecast Pattern

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ATT Forecasted Value

Market Value
38.55
February 26, 2020
38.32
Expected Value
41.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1148
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.014
MADMean absolute deviation0.2625
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0069
SAESum of the absolute errors16.0113
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting ATT forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent ATT observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Volatility Measures

ATT Risk Indicators

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Additionally, take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of ATT to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.